Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 11?
open
Total volume
$469
Trades
31
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$80
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 02:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $28 | $0 | +$28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $4 | $92 | $88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $3 | $0 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decent-Sneaker 0xe86b…bf61 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:08 |
| Quick-Witted-Kendo 0x6fc2…a035 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 01:47 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +62 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Grandiose-Beard 0xe620…cc08 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | +10 | $12 | $102 | 17 | 05-11 20:23 |
| Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Affectionate-Variable 0x1e76…7b84 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 23:41 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3593…1f4a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 18:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:23:50 | Quick-Witted-Kendo 0x6fc2…a035 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd41a38… |
| 05-12 02:08:09 | Decent-Sneaker 0xe86b…bf61 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe2d063… |
| 05-12 01:48:19 | Ringed-Stud 0xced4…5055 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x12ccac… |
| 05-12 01:47:59 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0c772… |
| 05-12 01:38:41 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x67e99a… |
| 05-12 01:38:41 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x1bc538… |
| 05-12 01:38:41 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x88ecba… |
| 05-12 01:38:39 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 44¢ | $23 | 0x2b3be8… |
| 05-12 01:38:27 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x581886… |
| 05-12 01:03:04 | Grandiose-Beard 0xe620…cc08 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x89ea0e… |
| 05-11 23:41:44 | Affectionate-Variable 0x1e76…7b84 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9813a7… |
| 05-11 20:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x1be1f0… |
| 05-11 19:19:12 | Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9f85b7… |
| 05-11 19:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xa1c31c… |
| 05-11 18:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x9d732d… |
| 05-11 18:59:08 | Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xd62faf… |
| 05-11 18:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x3593…1f4a | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x59d3f8… |
| 05-11 18:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xc92177… |
| 05-11 18:58:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa9362b… |
| 05-11 18:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x59b8ce… |
| 05-11 18:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xd952bb… |
| 05-11 18:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xcadd8c… |
| 05-11 18:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xceee7d… |
| 05-11 18:41:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xada0ee… |
| 05-11 18:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xd7234d… |
| 05-11 18:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x915261… |
| 05-11 18:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xeec1de… |
| 05-11 18:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x4bd518… |
| 05-11 18:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x017456… |
| 05-11 18:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x74ddbc… |
| 05-11 17:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x4c48fe… |