Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 19?
No won
Total volume
$13,145
Trades
222
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-19
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-19 16:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $7.4K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $11.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $478 | $8.4K | $7.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $25 | $114 | $89 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $11 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $35 | $23 | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $469 | $7.0K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $18 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | $30 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $27 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $103 | $103 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $23 | $281 | $258 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +3,093 | $2,855 | $2,855 | 17 | 10-19 09:42 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +2,312 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 10-19 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | +1,125 | $1,124 | $1,124 | 1 | 10-19 16:04 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +961 | $951 | $951 | 7 | 10-19 15:18 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +866 | $46 | $46 | 6 | 10-19 13:22 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +859 | $837 | $1,168 | 4 | 10-19 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | +759 | $53 | $53 | 8 | 10-19 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | +651 | $607 | $607 | 5 | 10-19 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | Yes | +649 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-19 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6e1…61e8 | Yes | +513 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-19 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | +425 | $97 | $341 | 81 | 10-19 14:56 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +322 | $40 | $93 | 12 | 10-19 13:33 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | +305 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-19 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +259 | $11 | $11 | 12 | 10-19 14:37 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +255 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-19 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | +242 | $237 | $237 | 7 | 10-19 15:44 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +233 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-19 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +222 | $208 | $208 | 9 | 10-19 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Yes | +220 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-18 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-18 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | +147 | $175 | $2,093 | 28 | 10-19 15:18 |
| Immaculate-Application 0xdf66…565c | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-19 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x56b7…3081 | Yes | +102 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-19 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb6e…57fe | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-19 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f85…4b4c | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-19 14:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ef0…efb7 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-19 13:14 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 10-19 14:37 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 14:37 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 10-19 14:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 10-15 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb552…b70c | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-19 06:00 |
| Dry-Root-Making 0xc442…4592 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 16:00 |
| Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-19 15:33 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 13:53 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-19 14:56 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 15:33 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-19 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 13:53 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-19 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4a4…c284 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-18 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-19 04:47 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-19 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e3…8b84 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-18 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 19:09 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 15:33 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-18 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x14d5…0a57 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-19 00:00 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ba0…717a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-19 08:07 |
| Growling-Mansion 0xaea7…3dd8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 19:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x0b69…a6fc | No | SELL | 1,125 | 100¢ | $1,124 | 0xbfdfc6… |
| 10-19 16:04:26 | (anonymous) 0xb26f…5b27 | No | BUY | 1,125 | 100¢ | $1,124 | 0xbfdfc6… |
| 10-19 15:44:38 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfffc9b… |
| 10-19 15:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfffc9b… |
| 10-19 15:33:30 | Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa1f460… |
| 10-19 15:33:30 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1f460… |
| 10-19 15:33:30 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1f460… |
| 10-19 15:18:53 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0xb55c81… |
| 10-19 15:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 152 | 100¢ | $152 | 0xb55c81… |
| 10-19 15:18:53 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 251 | 100¢ | $251 | 0xb55c81… |
| 10-19 15:17:47 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 67 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x6d79f2… |
| 10-19 15:17:47 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x6d79f2… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd90e12… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7c15c2… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c15c2… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x58372c… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd90e12… |
| 10-19 14:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58372c… |
| 10-19 14:39:26 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3e793… |
| 10-19 14:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe3e793… |
| 10-19 14:37:36 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 311 | 99¢ | $309 | 0x6af658… |
| 10-19 14:37:36 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6af658… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14d71b… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a2600… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a2600… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x14d71b… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a2600… |
| 10-19 14:37:32 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2a2600… |
| 10-19 14:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x6f85…4b4c | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7c6830… |
| 10-19 14:25:17 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | BUY | 67 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x7c6830… |
| 10-19 14:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x190376… |
| 10-19 14:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x6f85…4b4c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x190376… |
| 10-19 14:11:32 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf7fa7… |
| 10-19 14:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x6f85…4b4c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf7fa7… |
| 10-19 14:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xbf7fa7… |
| 10-19 14:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x5968…9586 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6660bc… |
| 10-19 14:01:17 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 259 | 99¢ | $256 | 0x34c118… |
| 10-19 14:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 59 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x34c118… |
| 10-19 14:01:17 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6660bc… |
| 10-19 14:01:17 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x34c118… |
| 10-19 13:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x5968…9586 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a960f… |
| 10-19 13:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x5b19…8c1b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4a960f… |
| 10-19 13:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $83 | 0x599d16… |
| 10-19 13:33:15 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 322 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x599d16… |
| 10-19 13:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x599d16… |
| 10-19 13:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 74 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfe8c9c… |
| 10-19 13:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdda5f1… |
| 10-19 13:33:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 391 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xfe8c9c… |
| 10-19 13:33:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0xdda5f1… |
| 10-19 13:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd1db94… |
| 10-19 13:33:11 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0xd1db94… |
| 10-19 13:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | Yes | BUY | 433 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x3775e0… |
| 10-19 13:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 103 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3775e0… |
| 10-19 13:33:09 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 90 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9d4c5a… |
| 10-19 13:33:09 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | Yes | BUY | 216 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x8c21c9… |
| 10-19 13:33:09 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 216 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x8c21c9… |
| 10-19 13:33:09 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 397 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x9d4c5a… |
| 10-19 13:32:41 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 498 | 98¢ | $487 | 0xc700fe… |
| 10-19 13:32:41 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 498 | 2¢ | $11 | 0xc700fe… |
| 10-19 13:30:39 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 527 | 98¢ | $515 | 0x280efb… |
| 10-19 13:30:39 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 527 | 2¢ | $12 | 0x280efb… |
| 10-19 13:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xb6d861… |
| 10-19 13:22:42 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6d861… |
| 10-19 13:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x0b69…a6fc | No | BUY | 1,125 | 98¢ | $1,100 | 0xb6d861… |
| 10-19 13:22:42 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xb6d861… |
| 10-19 13:22:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 383 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xb6d861… |
| 10-19 13:14:15 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x98ae2d… |
| 10-19 13:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x2ef0…efb7 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x98ae2d… |
| 10-19 13:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x2ef0…efb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01df80… |
| 10-19 13:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x5968…9586 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01df80… |
| 10-19 13:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x13e683… |
| 10-19 13:04:24 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 390 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x13e683… |
| 10-19 12:13:50 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x94d62e… |
| 10-19 12:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 72 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x94d62e… |
| 10-19 12:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x94d62e… |
| 10-19 12:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 49 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x986df3… |
| 10-19 12:11:36 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x986df3… |
| 10-19 12:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x80f8e7… |
| 10-19 12:08:53 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x80f8e7… |
| 10-19 11:40:15 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc9928e… |
| 10-19 11:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xc9928e… |
| 10-19 11:40:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc9928e… |
| 10-19 11:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 91 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9ab1b4… |
| 10-19 11:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xf6e1…61e8 | Yes | BUY | 513 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x9ab1b4… |
| 10-19 10:31:23 | (anonymous) 0x86ec…b103 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2768b8… |
| 10-19 10:31:23 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2768b8… |
| 10-19 10:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x0b69…a6fc | No | SELL | 1,166 | 95¢ | $1,106 | 0xd52839… |
| 10-19 10:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd52839… |
| 10-19 09:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x759daf… |
| 10-19 09:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x759daf… |
| 10-19 09:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 392 | 10¢ | $37 | 0x759daf… |
| 10-19 09:42:36 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 260 | 90¢ | $235 | 0x759daf… |
| 10-19 09:33:20 | Immaculate-Application 0xdf66…565c | No | BUY | 108 | 92¢ | $100 | 0x4b72dc… |
| 10-19 09:33:20 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x4b72dc… |
| 10-19 09:33:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x4b72dc… |
| 10-19 09:33:20 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x4b72dc… |
| 10-19 08:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x72cd2e… |
| 10-19 08:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x0ba0…717a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x72cd2e… |
| 10-19 07:34:29 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3bf81a… |
| 10-19 07:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x86ec…b103 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x3bf81a… |