Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$563
Trades
73
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-12 04:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $5
vs crowd: 86% YES on $415)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $56 | $2 | +$54 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 52 | $301 | $56 | +$246 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $23 | $13 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $106 | $3 | +$103 |
| Median | 11 | $46 | $2 | +$44 |
| Below median | 17 | $120 | $8 | +$112 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $48 | $20 | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $9 | $12 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hefty-Serval 0x9791…a14a | Yes | +75 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-11 23:10 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +51 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 05-11 23:35 |
| Canine-Anything 0x8bad…b337 | No | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 22:37 |
| Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | +48 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-11 04:03 |
| Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | Yes | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-11 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | Yes | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 20:33 |
| International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Truthful-Siding 0x21e5…b7e9 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 23:53 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 19:08 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 22:14 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 12:37 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:08 |
| Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:25 |
| Ironclad-Brushfire 0xc0da…4162 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 11:00 |
| Buzzing-Entity 0x9337…4fc6 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 20:33 |
| Immense-Behest 0x8780…5f74 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 21:18 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 03:33 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 14:26 |
| Cautious-Junior 0xb722…f03a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:30 |
| Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $6 | 2 | 05-11 23:22 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 21:01 |
| Thankful-Luxury 0x55d0…a380 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 17:02 |
| Frightened-Treaty 0xf147…df5c | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 22:19 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 23:51 |
| Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:35 |
| Scientific-Hiking 0xbbea…eebe | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:53 |
| Measly-Cemetery 0x5278…5306 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 17:28 |
| Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 14:02 |
| First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 15:26 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 01:04 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $7 | 3 | 05-11 18:23 |
| Yellow-Tiara 0xb0d9…03d2 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:06 |
| Playful-Appliance 0x1a63…e745 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:32 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 20:32 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Superb-Numeracy 0xecdb…c3b4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:30:44 | Dishonest-Son 0x3cb7…1a88 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x27a025… |
| 05-12 01:29:00 | Embarrassed-Placebo 0xc510…5c9f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xca5474… |
| 05-12 00:48:22 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6ee0a4… |
| 05-12 00:02:52 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c7f91… |
| 05-11 23:59:05 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7f4adf… |
| 05-11 23:53:57 | Truthful-Siding 0x21e5…b7e9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfed6f4… |
| 05-11 23:47:21 | Some-Watcher 0x6abb…718f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x53fca8… |
| 05-11 23:47:00 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6f4ff8… |
| 05-11 23:35:54 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xc5cbaf… |
| 05-11 23:31:19 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc8b908… |
| 05-11 23:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x96d2…b4fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3f736d… |
| 05-11 23:28:17 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xe91a6b… |
| 05-11 23:24:07 | Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xb6d22b… |
| 05-11 23:22:15 | Warm-Reception 0xbd6a…4614 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4bdfe6… |
| 05-11 23:22:08 | Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc1a56d… |
| 05-11 23:21:40 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd7e64b… |
| 05-11 23:21:27 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1b2fcd… |
| 05-11 23:21:12 | International-Town 0x7e10…d25b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa08ca4… |
| 05-11 23:10:57 | Hefty-Serval 0x9791…a14a | Yes | BUY | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x6a484a… |
| 05-11 23:07:54 | Clumsy-Runaway 0x8a89…0e5d | No | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2c1fde… |
| 05-11 22:37:51 | Canine-Anything 0x8bad…b337 | No | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x86824f… |
| 05-11 22:19:02 | Frightened-Treaty 0xf147…df5c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb4c714… |
| 05-11 22:14:17 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x614026… |
| 05-11 22:08:43 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x2d77ce… |
| 05-11 21:32:45 | Playful-Appliance 0x1a63…e745 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x5b9b70… |
| 05-11 21:18:56 | Immense-Behest 0x8780…5f74 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x832708… |
| 05-11 21:08:38 | Superb-Numeracy 0xecdb…c3b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xce85a6… |
| 05-11 21:07:44 | Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x1daada… |
| 05-11 21:01:55 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xae9694… |
| 05-11 20:43:38 | Delightful-Earthquake 0xf7f4…1e34 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x13273b… |
| 05-11 20:33:50 | Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x3684bd… |
| 05-11 20:33:50 | Twin-Emery 0x7cd2…d675 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xe8603a… |
| 05-11 20:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 93¢ | $30 | 0xb4b21a… |
| 05-11 20:33:48 | Buzzing-Entity 0x9337…4fc6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x7ce63c… |
| 05-11 20:32:09 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x71468a… |
| 05-11 19:13:34 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x99366a… |
| 05-11 18:23:40 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x006dcf… |
| 05-11 17:28:38 | Measly-Cemetery 0x5278…5306 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x40ebec… |
| 05-11 17:13:21 | Thankful-Luxury 0x55d0…a380 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 43¢ | $6 | 0xf903e1… |
| 05-11 17:02:38 | Thankful-Luxury 0x55d0…a380 | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xe11de2… |
| 05-11 16:56:27 | Yellow-Tiara 0xb0d9…03d2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf92a90… |
| 05-11 15:26:57 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xbffc15… |
| 05-11 15:17:17 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x6a8d47… |
| 05-11 15:08:43 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc677d2… |
| 05-11 15:08:22 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc9d8b1… |
| 05-11 12:18:00 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0xbc681e… |
| 05-11 12:08:52 | Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xe0fe1f… |
| 05-11 11:53:21 | Scientific-Hiking 0xbbea…eebe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9c56a6… |
| 05-11 10:26:05 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xa6529b… |
| 05-11 10:15:44 | Adorable-Night 0xdbe9…6e7c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x05bc71… |
| 05-11 06:34:11 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x6dc78b… |
| 05-11 06:04:44 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xdd92e6… |
| 05-11 06:04:44 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x1f6759… |
| 05-11 04:03:38 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x00e1c6… |
| 05-11 03:33:40 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb1b055… |
| 05-11 03:33:39 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xc64b70… |
| 05-11 02:25:13 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x3f8343… |
| 05-11 00:35:19 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe4bcd8… |
| 05-11 00:18:40 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x44ba57… |
| 05-11 00:18:38 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xca3b4f… |
| 05-10 23:51:43 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x90baef… |
| 05-10 19:08:16 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x373f60… |
| 05-10 16:19:29 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 35¢ | $11 | 0xba4a3d… |
| 05-10 14:30:40 | Cautious-Junior 0xb722…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb8c6fa… |
| 05-10 12:37:14 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $11 | 0x837f27… |
| 05-10 11:00:14 | Ironclad-Brushfire 0xc0da…4162 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x7cfda1… |
| 05-10 08:08:10 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x21ae1c… |
| 05-10 06:52:15 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xc11beb… |
| 05-10 04:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x71d17e… |
| 05-10 01:04:21 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x87ce25… |
| 05-09 14:26:58 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x7ef19f… |
| 05-09 14:26:58 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xfffe3c… |
| 05-09 14:02:51 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x4fb44f… |