Will the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$583
Trades
38
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,000
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-07-01
last 08-10 05:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $36 | $36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $195 | $98 | +$97 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $97 | $23 | +$75 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 2 | $47 | $22 | +$25 |
| Below median | 6 | $135 | $20 | +$115 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| unranked | 5 | $11 | $32 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | +145 | $65 | $65 | 8 | 07-26 01:29 |
| Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | O 86.5 | +122 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-05 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | U 86.5 | +122 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-05 05:53 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 86.5 | +100 | $39 | $150 | 2 | 07-26 18:29 |
| Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 86.5 | +88 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 07-23 18:39 |
| Trusting-Hearing 0xd41b…83a4 | O 86.5 | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-10 03:51 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | U 86.5 | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 03:51 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 86.5 | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | U 86.5 | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-26 01:27 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | U 86.5 | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-26 01:27 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | U 86.5 | +20 | $19 | $54 | 2 | 07-26 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | O 86.5 | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 01:27 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | U 86.5 | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb720…da75 | O 86.5 | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 03:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 05:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | U 86.5 | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x224a3a… |
| 08-10 05:12:03 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | U 86.5 | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x224a3a… |
| 08-10 03:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xb720…da75 | O 86.5 | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb9e345… |
| 08-10 03:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | U 86.5 | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb9e345… |
| 08-10 03:51:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf74277… |
| 08-10 03:51:25 | Trusting-Hearing 0xd41b…83a4 | O 86.5 | BUY | 45 | 90¢ | $40 | 0xf74277… |
| 08-10 03:51:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | U 86.5 | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf74277… |
| 08-10 03:51:25 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | U 86.5 | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf74277… |
| 08-05 05:53:57 | Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | O 86.5 | BUY | 122 | 82¢ | $100 | 0xd5f100… |
| 08-05 05:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | U 86.5 | BUY | 122 | 18¢ | $22 | 0xd5f100… |
| 07-26 18:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | U 86.5 | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x7d5761… |
| 07-26 18:29:51 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 86.5 | SELL | 78 | 72¢ | $56 | 0x7d5761… |
| 07-26 18:29:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | U 86.5 | SELL | 58 | 30¢ | $17 | 0x7d5761… |
| 07-26 01:29:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | U 86.5 | SELL | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x2091ab… |
| 07-26 01:29:01 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x2091ab… |
| 07-26 01:27:36 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 86.5 | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x61c9e7… |
| 07-26 01:27:36 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x61c9e7… |
| 07-26 01:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x5e38…a78b | O 86.5 | BUY | 18 | 56¢ | $10 | 0xdb566f… |
| 07-26 01:27:27 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 18 | 44¢ | $8 | 0xdb566f… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | U 86.5 | BUY | 78 | 47¢ | $36 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 86.5 | BUY | 178 | 53¢ | $95 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-26 01:27:24 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xe0abdd… |
| 07-23 18:39:57 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x93bb6d… |
| 07-23 18:39:57 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x93bb6d… |
| 07-22 04:03:45 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x4117ed… |
| 07-22 04:03:45 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 86.5 | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x4117ed… |
| 07-19 10:13:24 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | U 86.5 | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x29b53d… |
| 07-19 10:13:24 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x29b53d… |
| 07-14 22:00:49 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | U 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x0ac2e3… |
| 07-14 22:00:49 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 86.5 | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x0ac2e3… |
| 07-01 14:14:53 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 86.5 | BUY | 40 | 46¢ | $18 | 0x7dfa15… |
| 07-01 14:14:53 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 86.5 | BUY | 40 | 54¢ | $22 | 0x7dfa15… |
| 07-01 14:14:13 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | O 86.5 | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x675c82… |
| 07-01 14:14:13 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | U 86.5 | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x675c82… |