Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or higher on May 10?
No won
Total volume
$356
$3,736 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 19:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 1% YES on $335)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $4 | $223 | $219 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $52 | $52 |
| Median | 14 | — | $176 | $176 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $19 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $1 | $54 | $53 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $13 | $12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +134 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:56 |
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +119 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:27 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:06 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-10 09:01 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 08:06 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-10 10:21 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 14:35 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Willing-Cry 0x8acf…24bb | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 04:49 |
| Ancient-Playwright 0xf961…259c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 08:04 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 02:50 |
| Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 09:04 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Required-Leaf 0xf193…5400 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 19:43 |
| Noteworthy-Comb 0xdfcc…309e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 01:55 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 18:27 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:49 |
| Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 19:43:41 | Required-Leaf 0xf193…5400 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x947e69… |
| 05-10 14:35:53 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x98fe85… |
| 05-10 13:21:59 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x433e01… |
| 05-10 12:05:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x035c62… |
| 05-10 11:30:34 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x899ad0… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb62fa3… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a0c4c… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaf861… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x082d75… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xacb3ec… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc91b1… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc79f9a… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67eb4a… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80f1a1… |
| 05-10 11:06:07 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe79637… |
| 05-10 10:46:15 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x925332… |
| 05-10 10:46:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5e519… |
| 05-10 10:46:15 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d969a… |
| 05-10 10:21:19 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xde6d19… |
| 05-10 09:28:39 | Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbd713e… |
| 05-10 09:08:52 | Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaec4d5… |
| 05-10 09:06:48 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd4bc00… |
| 05-10 09:04:59 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xddcd4c… |
| 05-10 09:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x5f25cc… |
| 05-10 08:48:55 | Willing-Cry 0x8acf…24bb | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x212204… |
| 05-10 08:27:27 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa08780… |
| 05-10 08:23:26 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x64dedf… |
| 05-10 08:23:17 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd59029… |
| 05-10 08:13:50 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x23cdda… |
| 05-10 08:06:29 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x823399… |
| 05-10 08:04:30 | Ancient-Playwright 0xf961…259c | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2f57ba… |
| 05-10 08:04:16 | Ancient-Playwright 0xf961…259c | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x791a30… |
| 05-10 07:56:53 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x43b5da… |
| 05-10 07:24:03 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xded8f7… |
| 05-10 06:52:24 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7b481d… |
| 05-10 06:52:24 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0a23a0… |
| 05-10 05:27:30 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41f8dd… |
| 05-10 02:49:53 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9d6ecf… |
| 05-10 02:20:02 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa39c59… |
| 05-10 01:55:48 | Noteworthy-Comb 0xdfcc…309e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x63180f… |
| 05-10 00:15:33 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7cba27… |
| 05-10 00:09:14 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x44c840… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x76d0e1… |
| 05-09 12:00:14 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0b2d1a… |
| 05-09 02:50:18 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0e54dc… |
| 05-08 18:27:54 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x065061… |
| 05-08 10:00:48 | Vicious-Mover 0x564a…8871 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x653a71… |
| 05-08 04:49:02 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd7e78e… |
| 05-08 04:43:52 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc3c467… |