Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$1,831
Trades
302
Unique wallets
115
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 02:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.0¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 30% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 47 | $380 | $831 | $451 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $73 | $278 | $205 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $33 | $56 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $18 | $21 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 50 | $419 | $820 | $401 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $19 | $10 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $4 | $29 | $25 |
| Median | 8 | $5 | $15 | $10 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $9 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $10 | $108 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $30 | $167 | $137 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $13 | $30 | $18 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +246 | $136 | $136 | 16 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +193 | $63 | $63 | 10 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b2f…08c7 | Down | +100 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +82 | $42 | $42 | 7 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | +78 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 10-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | +76 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +69 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +65 | $41 | $41 | 7 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | Down | +61 | $30 | $30 | 8 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Up | +60 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f97…cda9 | Up | +53 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be9…508e | Down | +51 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | +47 | $15 | $15 | 8 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | +46 | $38 | $38 | 6 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | +46 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +46 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +42 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Up | +42 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +41 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Down | +34 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | +33 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +30 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Down | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | +29 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Up | +28 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | +26 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Safe-Veldt 0x54c8…3b7e | Down | +26 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa10…d04c | Up | +26 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | +23 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | +22 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +22 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | +21 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Down | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cff8 | Up | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Dental-Colloquy 0x7bac…c521 | Up | +20 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-04 02:41 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +20 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | +19 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd224…17c6 | Down | +18 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf | Up | +18 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Up | +18 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | +18 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +17 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-04 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x850b…8952 | Up | +17 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-04 02:40 |
| Fixed-Pit 0x605b…5d60 | Down | +16 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +15 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Angelic-Disdain 0xf861…6d67 | Up | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdf2…a519 | Up | +13 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdf2…a519 | Down | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Down | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-04 02:43 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-04 02:42 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-04 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f61…0dea | Down | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2019…e16a | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 02:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x89b58e… |
| 10-04 02:44:23 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x89b58e… |
| 10-04 02:44:23 | Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x89b58e… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 106 | 99¢ | $105 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x2f97…cda9 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x460486… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cff8 | Up | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x745f63… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x460486… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x868f…f327 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x2f97…cda9 | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x745f63… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x2f97…cda9 | Up | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbbcb50… |
| 10-04 02:44:22 | Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x745f63… |
| 10-04 02:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cff8 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b52ce… |
| 10-04 02:44:20 | (anonymous) 0xffd7…c918 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x0b52ce… |
| 10-04 02:44:17 | Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf27d73… |
| 10-04 02:44:17 | (anonymous) 0xe681…7c36 | Down | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x615348… |
| 10-04 02:44:17 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x615348… |
| 10-04 02:44:17 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf27d73… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Down | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xf6ed…2da4 | Down | SELL | 135 | 96¢ | $130 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Down | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf3501a… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x181e8d… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xaa10…d04c | Up | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x268e7c… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdb2564… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb2564… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x268e7c… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xaa10…d04c | Up | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x181e8d… |
| 10-04 02:44:13 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x268e7c… |
| 10-04 02:44:10 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x02f61b… |
| 10-04 02:44:10 | Coarse-Pollution 0xda19…10bf | Down | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x02f61b… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x2019…e16a | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x97c8f8… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x97c8f8… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x003e9e… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xaa10…d04c | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x97c8f8… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xf336…868b | Up | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x97c8f8… |
| 10-04 02:44:08 | Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48 | Down | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x003e9e… |
| 10-04 02:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4424a2… |
| 10-04 02:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4424a2… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x145b4f… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x145b4f… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x67f9d3… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3daf37… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x3daf37… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x145b4f… |
| 10-04 02:44:02 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x67f9d3… |
| 10-04 02:44:01 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xdf05a7… |
| 10-04 02:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x1f61…0dea | Down | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xdf05a7… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | Well-Documented-Begonia 0x3f07…d1a5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x40befe… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | Boiling-Balcony 0xd5d6…5ebc | Down | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xd039c3… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | (anonymous) 0xafb0…cb37 | Down | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf4c763… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x40befe… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x40befe… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf4c763… |
| 10-04 02:43:55 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd039c3… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2a5d65… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | Functional-Leopard 0x81aa…cd8f | Down | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xf108ce… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x2a5d65… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf108ce… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5644f0… |
| 10-04 02:43:53 | Few-Mule 0x1fdc…e6eb | Down | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5644f0… |
| 10-04 02:43:49 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x38d492… |
| 10-04 02:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x4771…49d6 | Up | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x38d492… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x8b2f…08c7 | Down | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x97e90a… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe0fd74… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xe0fd74… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 62 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x97e90a… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x97e90a… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x8a63…1c02 | Down | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x178827… |
| 10-04 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x178827… |
| 10-04 02:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x998b35… |
| 10-04 02:43:41 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Down | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x9e095e… |
| 10-04 02:43:41 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9e095e… |
| 10-04 02:43:41 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x998b35… |
| 10-04 02:43:31 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 18 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x2fbe5d… |
| 10-04 02:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | BUY | 18 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x2fbe5d… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xee81fe… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xee81fe… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x0a4ae7… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Down | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x0a4ae7… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd2e75d… |
| 10-04 02:43:20 | (anonymous) 0x32c9…d640 | Down | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xd2e75d… |
| 10-04 02:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xdac6…ade0 | Down | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8d34ae… |
| 10-04 02:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xdb10…5080 | Down | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x8d34ae… |
| 10-04 02:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Down | BUY | 18 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x8d34ae… |
| 10-04 02:43:17 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xddbd08… |
| 10-04 02:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0xddbd08… |
| 10-04 02:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xddbd08… |
| 10-04 02:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xff9f60… |
| 10-04 02:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Up | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xe1075c… |
| 10-04 02:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xe1075c… |
| 10-04 02:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xff9f60… |
| 10-04 02:43:11 | (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x722c97… |
| 10-04 02:43:11 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | SELL | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x722c97… |