Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
503
lifetime
Volume
$1.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$46
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-25 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
69% 75% +$37
Other
23% 0% $-43
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +17 $9 99¢ $17 +$8 06-25 01:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 05-31 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-01 18:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-01 18:54
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 12:40