Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
411
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$101
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-09 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
71% 75% +$37
Other
20% 0% $-43
Crypto
4%
Tech
3%
Sports
2% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +30 $25 95¢ $29 +$4 05-28 04:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -32 $-32 82¢ $-26 +$6 06-06 21:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$1 05-30 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 05-31 20:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-01 18:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-01 18:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-1 62¢ $-2 $-1 05-29 19:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 06-09 02:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-04 10:35
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 05-28 12:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-10 00:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 11:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 22:09