Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
503
lifetime
Volume
$1.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$89
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-25 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
69% 75% +$37
Other
23% 0% $-43
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +30 $25 100¢ $30 +$5 05-28 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +17 $9 68¢ $11 +$2 06-25 01:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +11 $9 100¢ $11 +$2 05-30 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 05-31 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-01 18:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $8 $-1 06-01 18:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-11 20:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-09 02:05
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-28 12:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 11:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-18 05:46