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Realized P&L (7d)
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
85.0%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
0
685 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$2.89K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$230
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-25 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
67% 49% +$48
Other
25% 34% -$147
Sports
4% 27% +$3
Crypto
3% 14% -$69
Tech
2% 33% -$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +40 $34 97¢ $39 +$5 06-01 18:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +37 $34 98¢ $36 +$2 06-01 18:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +37 $29 98¢ $36 +$7 05-31 20:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +28 $26 98¢ $28 +$2 05-11 17:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $17 88¢ $19 +$2 05-27 17:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +15 $10 92¢ $14 +$4 05-08 19:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +81 $26 14¢ $11 -$15 05-22 16:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 96¢ $10 +$5 05-23 20:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 90¢ $6 +$2 05-18 22:55
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$1 05-19 20:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-08 20:28
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 06-25 03:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 05-27 10:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 05-07 16:03
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-24 18:53
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 06-05 14:13
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-05 13:47
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-28 12:40
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-22 22:09
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-01 09:05
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-08 11:41