Realized P&L
+$291
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
356
Trades
2,252
lifetime
Volume
$573.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$254
Open exposure
$187
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-04 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Sports
69% 73% +$134
Other
23% 85% +$164
Crypto
7% 97% -$1
Politics
1% 76% -$7
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +106 $104 99¢ $104 +$1 10-04 13:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 09-26 17:12
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 09-30 09:12
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 10-01 09:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 10-07 16:33
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 10-08 09:32
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 10-06 08:58
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 07-19 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-12 09:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-04 13:59
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-02 10:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-22 18:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-26 10:37