Unripe-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

712

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-13 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

45% 50% $-33

Sports

28% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-10

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$444	226	316	-90	open	—	06-18 11:59
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$379	300	100	+200	open	—	03-08 17:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$312	100	251	-151	open	—	07-03 13:18
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	4	$300	152	152	+0	open	—	04-21 14:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	3	$294	150	150	+0	open	—	03-02 22:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$289	160	160	+0	open	—	05-08 13:15
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	9	$267	265	42	+223	open	—	05-28 09:47
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	9	$256	226	211	+15	open	—	04-13 11:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$236	300	0	+300	open	—	08-03 19:05
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	13	$235	238	238	+0	open	—	04-17 08:27
will turkey strike iran by march 31	4	$218	115	115	+0	open	—	03-19 07:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	7	$218	250	0	+250	open	—	08-04 10:41
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 luge mens doubles wendlarlt ger	5	$216	300	0	+300	open	—	02-11 16:04
will bsw win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	02-27 16:20
will fdp win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	02-27 16:44
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 biathlon mens 10km sprint erik perrot fra	7	$194	111	111	+0	open	—	02-13 16:29
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	2	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 09:47
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 16:40
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	07-23 09:28
will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$189	198	0	+198	open	—	04-10 07:36
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 10000m timothy loubineaud fra	1	$189	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 11:42
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom lucas pinheiro braathen bra	3	$189	105	105	+0	open	—	02-16 13:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$187	109	109	+0	open	—	03-11 10:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 12:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$177	195	0	+195	open	—	03-26 05:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$176	186	0	+186	open	—	02-28 06:54
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	3	$174	125	75	+50	open	—	03-30 14:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	3	$171	200	0	+200	open	—	07-27 11:20
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating mens 10000m metodej jilek cze	7	$167	180	0	+180	open	—	02-13 16:37
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	8	$166	93	93	+0	open	—	04-24 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:23:43	iran successfully targets shipping on august 14 2026 20260729163314534	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3fe05a…
08-13 12:28:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x1209c1…
08-13 12:22:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xd8a5e2…
08-13 12:21:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x72e5c2…
08-13 12:21:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x33cb4b…
08-13 12:13:18	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x82b7ad…
08-13 12:12:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xdb8e73…
08-13 12:03:43	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xf52137…
08-13 12:00:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4e057f…
08-11 11:29:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5f40ed…
08-11 08:23:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xf8a869…
08-09 21:14:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x4dc5be…
08-09 14:20:28	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0xfc7d60…
08-06 09:53:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xc50cd8…
08-06 09:46:44	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xd2791b…
08-04 11:45:51	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x22a1b5…
08-04 10:41:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x391e4f…
08-04 09:58:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x17325e…
08-04 09:49:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x54dace…
08-04 06:56:21	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3d67da…
08-04 03:18:38	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xe0d9b0…
08-04 00:26:32	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	48	69¢	$33	0x611314…
08-04 00:17:33	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xdafd8d…
08-03 19:40:30	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x10d9af…
08-03 19:40:09	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x331440…
08-03 19:07:05	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0d322f…
08-03 19:06:33	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x30ee47…
08-03 19:05:51	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x0afe6d…
08-03 19:05:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe89853…
08-03 19:03:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xdd62e2…
08-03 11:51:00	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xc61e8c…
08-02 20:04:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x2512cb…
08-02 13:44:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x928c0d…
08-02 12:55:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xecc06b…
08-02 12:19:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x604586…
08-02 12:18:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1b3ccb…
08-02 12:18:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x2d520a…
08-02 12:15:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9fc98e…
08-02 09:05:59	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x95ba52…
08-02 02:43:57	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa6e4a1…
08-01 22:07:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xa56086…
08-01 18:38:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x68f575…
07-31 13:05:21	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x201971…
07-27 11:20:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x83e062…
07-27 09:57:13	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1d0615…
07-24 21:40:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc76161…
07-24 21:37:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x2e6b5f…
07-23 09:28:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6c143b…
07-21 11:58:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xeaf7f9…
07-21 11:53:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xe35a45…
07-20 13:06:28	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa625d4…
07-19 22:46:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xf65002…
07-19 13:39:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x75001a…
07-19 13:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf8d86c…
07-19 10:22:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xc1c883…
07-19 09:55:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x041cd1…
07-19 09:53:39	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xbcb1ad…
07-18 12:50:27	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x247f85…
07-18 08:03:00	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0f2163…
07-16 15:37:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5118dc…
07-16 15:08:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x727a14…
07-16 15:04:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x5fdd28…
07-16 14:19:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0bb4e0…
07-15 10:38:04	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	Yes	BUY	96	67¢	$64	0x456d1b…
07-15 02:38:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x81d7d8…
07-14 23:49:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xad8d79…
07-13 14:56:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x08ade1…
07-13 13:47:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4175d7…
07-11 10:25:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x009eaf…
07-10 13:21:22	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	Arthur Fery	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x9bc649…
07-10 09:36:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0x32a95d…
07-10 09:04:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x905c37…
07-09 22:42:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xcf7240…
07-09 20:08:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0xe1378f…
07-09 20:07:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x64b489…
07-09 19:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xac59f8…
07-09 19:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd84859…
07-09 18:48:29	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xc8e20b…
07-07 16:56:47	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x990987…
07-06 23:51:04	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0xa7ea1c…
07-06 21:04:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x1c01f5…
07-06 20:19:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x090417…
07-06 20:18:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc07b87…
07-06 20:17:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xa7aeca…
07-06 20:16:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x990b94…
07-06 20:15:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x208ae3…
07-06 20:15:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa08241…
07-06 20:14:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc48c29…
07-06 20:14:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdb17bf…
07-06 20:12:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xef53b4…
07-06 10:51:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x351d3a…
07-03 13:18:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xe37332…
07-02 11:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x35af2b…
07-01 19:22:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa4c589…
06-28 00:25:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	55	92¢	$51	0x0b76f3…
06-28 00:11:43	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x478ead…
06-28 00:11:34	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x946beb…
06-28 00:11:17	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xab2f0b…
06-28 00:07:49	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x36a3fa…
06-28 00:02:14	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2fea5a…