Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
666
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$764
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-23 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% $-33
Sports
30%
Politics
25% 0% $-10
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +150 $129 99¢ $149 +$20 07-11 10:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -151 $-140 92¢ $-138 +$1 07-03 13:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +150 $116 70¢ $104 $-12 07-19 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 07-19 09:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $86 77¢ $77 $-9 07-10 09:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -60 $-54 90¢ $-54 $-0 06-17 16:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -50 $-46 92¢ $-46 $-1 06-23 23:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +50 $48 92¢ $46 $-2 07-19 13:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +55 $27 64¢ $35 +$8 06-05 13:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $31 52¢ $26 $-5 07-09 20:08