Vacant-Freedom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,854

lifetime

Volume

$2.56M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$665

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-06 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% +$12

Other

37% 100% +$110

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	293	$186.7K	121,256	70,927	+50,328	open	—	03-04 18:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	79	$133.0K	70,835	63,834	+7,001	open	—	05-21 03:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	28	$97.9K	96,527	44,377	+52,151	open	—	06-03 18:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	132	$83.4K	54,442	34,442	+20,000	open	—	06-17 21:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	200	$79.8K	56,969	31,791	+25,178	open	—	02-02 15:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$79.6K	49,900	29,900	+20,000	open	—	04-08 23:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	104	$70.7K	39,455	33,917	+5,537	open	—	05-25 17:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	44	$67.6K	55,047	15,047	+40,000	open	—	03-31 15:47
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	20	$60.5K	30,340	30,340	+0	open	—	07-17 05:56
will iran strike israel on march 10	15	$54.8K	35,000	20,000	+15,000	open	—	03-16 11:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$54.4K	52,153	2,500	+49,653	open	—	04-10 12:31
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	9	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$110	05-04 00:16
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	38	$47.4K	33,500	14,000	+19,500	open	—	06-07 23:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$45.0K	45,000	0	+45,000	open	—	03-18 18:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$42.9K	43,000	0	+43,000	open	—	03-25 00:55
Will the US strike Iran next?	41	$41.8K	35,817	16,743	+19,075	open	—	03-02 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	52	$41.5K	22,023	19,849	+2,174	open	—	06-22 10:17
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	49	$40.4K	46,957	41,457	+5,500	open	—	01-02 01:25
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	32	$40.3K	24,500	15,905	+8,595	open	—	02-08 01:56
Will the US strike Somalia next?	55	$40.2K	22,235	22,177	+58	open	—	01-27 23:37
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	92	$38.3K	23,231	15,460	+7,771	open	—	03-11 00:44
Will the US strike Iran next?	49	$38.2K	31,568	22,314	+9,254	open	—	01-30 00:00
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	4	$37.0K	37,000	0	+37,000	open	—	03-29 14:47
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	48	$34.9K	27,500	7,499	+20,001	open	—	05-21 22:14
will gta 6 cost 100	39	$30.4K	19,663	10,750	+8,913	open	—	02-28 20:42
iran closes its airspace by june 15	8	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	06-09 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	32	$28.0K	18,096	10,754	+7,342	open	—	05-11 17:32
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$26.1K	26,200	0	+26,200	open	—	04-30 20:05
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$25.3K	25,350	0	+25,350	open	—	04-30 23:20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	03-12 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 22:28:42	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	747	93¢	$695	0x1eb119…
08-06 21:21:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1,203	93¢	$1,119	0x6fc920…
07-24 17:20:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x459dbc…
07-24 07:09:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	96¢	$2,390	0xd50f29…
07-24 07:08:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3c79f9…
07-20 13:41:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	313	99¢	$311	0xeff8f1…
07-20 13:40:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x89485a…
07-20 13:39:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb62829…
07-20 13:38:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0xb22325…
07-20 13:38:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0x5d83ee…
07-20 13:37:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	429	99¢	$426	0xa91c63…
07-20 13:35:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xc7113d…
07-20 13:35:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	7,143	99¢	$7,093	0x13f3fc…
07-19 22:01:55	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	760	100¢	$758	0x1d6d60…
07-19 22:00:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	6,500	100¢	$6,480	0x296a77…
07-19 21:51:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xbd273c…
07-19 21:45:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	700	99¢	$693	0x93f8a2…
07-19 21:24:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	880	99¢	$873	0xac3c9f…
07-19 21:22:18	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x09fcfd…
07-19 21:17:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	895	99¢	$888	0xd888ac…
07-17 15:43:16	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	8,888	100¢	$8,879	0x418bb0…
07-17 14:33:43	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xbf9606…
07-17 14:32:43	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	930	100¢	$928	0xa5a3d8…
07-17 11:11:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0xe1710e…
07-17 08:09:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd07872…
07-17 08:06:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	2,569	100¢	$2,564	0x63fd8c…
07-17 05:56:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	11,731	100¢	$11,720	0x9d4036…
07-16 14:02:05	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	9,740	100¢	$9,711	0xf0732e…
07-15 21:32:53	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	5,084	100¢	$5,079	0x3f3827…
07-15 14:39:02	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xce505b…
07-15 13:38:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	950	100¢	$949	0xb952d5…
07-15 11:33:14	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	2,530	100¢	$2,527	0x89acd6…
07-15 03:21:50	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,991	100¢	$1,985	0xbc8a47…
07-14 16:49:04	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,615	100¢	$3,604	0x3d7609…
07-14 15:32:25	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,570	100¢	$1,565	0xae5e86…
07-14 14:00:22	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06f671…
07-14 14:00:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,805	100¢	$2,796	0x94dc12…
07-14 02:05:47	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x68c314…
07-13 15:28:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,980	0xfeea8a…
07-13 13:30:44	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,054	100¢	$3,042	0x370ff4…
07-13 09:07:59	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0x174e11…
07-13 08:32:28	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xeb8d7e…
07-13 08:32:26	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	434	100¢	$432	0x11968c…
07-13 07:50:58	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xdd20e6…
07-13 07:26:23	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,627	100¢	$1,622	0xa5dd7d…
07-13 07:26:23	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	850	100¢	$847	0x8adc43…
07-08 21:30:08	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	495	100¢	$492	0xdd8a8b…
07-08 16:37:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,985	0xf8cb88…
07-08 05:43:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb38328…
07-08 05:43:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcfc093…
07-08 05:42:53	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6807ff…
07-08 05:42:44	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2d9e7…
07-08 05:42:38	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0fe790…
07-07 23:38:11	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$497	0x725bf2…
07-07 19:22:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	666	67¢	$444	0x934959…
07-07 18:16:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,510	0x9d73d8…
07-07 17:56:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	225	2¢	$4	0x54dcb5…
07-07 17:41:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xdd5061…
07-07 17:31:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	186	18¢	$34	0x98a793…
07-07 17:24:13	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x3e6472…
07-07 16:17:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0x8b30de…
07-07 16:06:19	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x18da09…
07-07 14:58:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x623e09…
07-07 14:57:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x27754d…
07-07 13:59:26	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	747	89¢	$665	0xb5fcdb…
07-07 11:01:28	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0xa34895…
07-07 01:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13,370	100¢	$13,357	0xc2a00a…
07-07 00:46:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x3f6494…
07-07 00:26:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0x126563…
07-04 23:52:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5,651	100¢	$5,646	0x125c92…
07-04 23:39:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x749177…
07-04 23:27:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa0b1b…
07-04 23:23:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5eba0a…
07-04 23:19:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,993	0xb459e3…
07-04 23:18:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a971c…
07-04 23:18:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	734	100¢	$734	0x3f6f82…
07-03 11:06:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,132	93¢	$1,053	0xc21994…
07-03 11:04:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x7958c7…
07-03 11:04:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf86c90…
07-03 11:04:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5f2854…
07-03 11:02:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,867	93¢	$1,737	0xf28671…
07-02 14:44:53	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xcd6d73…
07-01 09:25:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	365	100¢	$363	0x7bb335…
07-01 08:39:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x9b0d02…
07-01 08:39:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cd94e…
07-01 08:27:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d6f0…
07-01 08:21:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0e07d…
07-01 08:14:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x703e47…
06-30 12:28:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0x5709f0…
06-30 12:25:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xdb10f9…
06-30 12:24:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0x56f757…
06-30 12:22:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	517	86¢	$444	0xc68089…
06-30 12:17:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xacc8f5…
06-30 11:51:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04d46d…
06-30 11:47:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa35b09…
06-30 10:29:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x712162…
06-30 09:15:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	8,848	100¢	$8,839	0x3761cd…
06-27 21:32:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xbb9ce8…
06-27 21:10:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x712e07…
06-27 20:22:02	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	99	87¢	$86	0x888796…