Realized P&L
+$8.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$385
Hit rate
96.2%
Resolved
229
Trades
4,287
lifetime
Volume
$2.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$624
Open exposure
$16.1K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 18:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
53% 89% +$5,268
Other
37% 86% +$4,674
Crypto
5% 68% +$591
Sports
3% 57% -$1,688
Tech
1% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,990 $2,650 94¢ $2.8K +$146 08-25 09:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,500 $2,390 97¢ $2.4K +$46 07-24 07:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,174 $2,060 98¢ $2.1K +$71 10-25 20:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,900 $1,821 96¢ $1.8K +$0 10-24 21:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,512 $964 70¢ $1.1K +$102 10-26 18:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,221 $1,000 86¢ $1.0K +$45 08-16 09:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,033 $998 95¢ $982 -$16 10-09 09:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,036 $870 80¢ $834 -$36 10-09 09:03
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $483 97¢ $484 +$1 10-07 23:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +500 $440 93¢ $465 +$25 10-21 10:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +600 $450 76¢ $453 +$3 10-15 04:03
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +439 $431 98¢ $431 $0 10-06 11:13
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +410 $399 98¢ $401 +$2 10-13 09:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +412 $350 85¢ $350 +$0 10-08 21:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +222 $214 96¢ $214 +$0 10-07 18:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +215 $200 92¢ $197 -$3 10-23 17:24