Realized P&L (7d)
+$107
Unrealized P&L
+$313
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
94
4,370 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17.1K
$2.69M lifetime
Avg / trade
$615
Open exposure
$14.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
54% 89% +$5,268
Other
37% 86% +$4,762
Crypto
5% 68% +$591
Sports
3% 57% -$1,688
Tech
1% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,990 $2,650 94¢ $2.8K +$176 08-25 09:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,500 $2,390 97¢ $2.4K +$46 07-24 07:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,874 $1,767 98¢ $1.8K +$69 10-28 08:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,900 $1,821 96¢ $1.8K +$6 10-24 21:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,221 $1,000 86¢ $1.0K +$48 08-16 09:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,033 $998 96¢ $995 -$3 10-09 09:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,036 $870 82¢ $844 -$26 10-09 09:03
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $483 97¢ $484 +$0 10-07 23:07
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +439 $431 99¢ $433 +$2 10-06 11:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +600 $450 72¢ $429 -$21 10-15 04:03
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +410 $399 98¢ $402 +$3 10-13 09:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +412 $350 86¢ $354 +$4 10-08 21:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +222 $214 96¢ $213 -$1 10-07 18:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +215 $200 92¢ $199 -$1 10-23 17:24
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +160 $148 99¢ $158 +$10 10-28 07:47