Realized P&L (30d)
+$208
Unrealized P&L
+$409
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
199
4,429 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$52.2K
$2.71M lifetime
Avg / trade
$612
Open exposure
$18.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
54% 89% +$5,268
Other
37% 86% +$4,762
Crypto
5% 68% +$591
Sports
3% 57% -$1,688
Tech
1% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2,953 $2,919 99¢ $2.9K +$11 10-29 21:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,500 $2,390 97¢ $2.4K +$39 07-24 07:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,874 $1,767 98¢ $1.8K +$64 10-28 08:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,900 $1,821 96¢ $1.8K +$5 10-24 21:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,743 $1,600 95¢ $1.7K +$59 10-29 19:37
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,152 $1,123 97¢ $1.1K -$3 10-29 15:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,221 $1,000 86¢ $1.1K +$53 08-16 09:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,033 $998 97¢ $1.0K +$5 10-09 09:08
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +935 $899 96¢ $895 -$4 10-29 07:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,036 $870 80¢ $834 -$36 10-09 09:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +703 $523 74¢ $524 +$1 10-29 08:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $483 97¢ $486 +$2 10-07 23:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -515 -$681 94¢ $-481 +$200 10-29 17:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +412 $350 86¢ $352 +$2 10-08 21:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +222 $214 96¢ $214 +$1 10-07 18:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +215 $200 92¢ $199 -$1 10-23 17:24
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +160 $148 99¢ $159 +$11 10-28 07:47
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,516 $15 1¢ $16 +$1 10-29 08:29