Realized P&L (90d)
+$442
Unrealized P&L
+$505
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
14
Trades (90d)
384
4,440 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$71.2K
$2.71M lifetime
Avg / trade
$610
Open exposure
$17.9K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
54% 89% +$5,280
Other
37% 86% +$4,762
Crypto
5% 71% +$685
Sports
3% 57% -$1,688
Tech
1% 100% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2,953 $2,919 99¢ $2.9K +$8 10-29 21:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,500 $2,390 97¢ $2.4K +$46 07-24 07:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,900 $1,821 97¢ $1.8K +$23 10-24 21:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,874 $1,767 98¢ $1.8K +$66 10-28 08:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,329 $1,200 97¢ $1.3K +$87 10-30 07:06
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,152 $1,123 98¢ $1.1K +$7 10-29 15:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,221 $1,000 85¢ $1.0K +$43 08-16 09:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,033 $998 98¢ $1.0K +$15 10-09 09:08
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +935 $899 98¢ $917 +$18 10-29 07:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,036 $870 82¢ $854 -$16 10-09 09:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +703 $523 70¢ $489 -$35 10-29 08:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -515 -$681 94¢ $-486 +$195 10-29 17:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $483 97¢ $486 +$2 10-07 23:07
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +500 $345 74¢ $372 +$28 10-29 23:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +412 $350 88¢ $364 +$14 10-08 21:49
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +222 $214 96¢ $214 +$0 10-07 18:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +215 $200 94¢ $203 +$3 10-23 17:24
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,516 $15 1¢ $14 -$1 10-29 08:29