Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$44
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
21 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-11 22:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 61¢ $2 +$0 06-11 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 06-11 21:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:35
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:57
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:20
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:39
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:44
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-11 21:59