(anonymous) 0x18c5b0…65d578
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$44
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-11 22:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61% — —
Other
39% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +6 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 06-11 21:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 56¢ $2 $-0 06-11 21:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:41
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:39
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:38
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:34
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:39
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:34
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 $-0 06-11 22:02
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 67¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-11 21:59