(anonymous) 0x1b737d…c6cbb4
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,659
lifetime
Volume
$50.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$85
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-30 12:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52% — —
Politics
48% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -23 $-13 94¢ $-22 $-9 06-30 15:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +14 $13 95¢ $13 +$0 06-30 09:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -12 $-8 96¢ $-12 $-3 06-30 13:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9 $17 95¢ $9 $-9 06-30 15:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $-1 06-14 12:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-23 02:54
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $5 $-1 06-30 08:30
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-14 08:14
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 02:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2 $2 100¢ $-2 $-3 06-08 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-27 18:21
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-08 22:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 13:36
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 20:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-27 05:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-30 10:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 19:47
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 17:40
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-18 02:32
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 18:16
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-26 15:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 08:29
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-30 05:35
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-28 18:32