(anonymous) 0x1b737d…c6cbb4
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
13,796
lifetime
Volume
$75.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$66
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-20 00:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51% — —
Politics
49% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +19 $33 96¢ $18 $-14 07-19 21:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -18 $-2 96¢ $-17 $-15 07-19 20:26
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +14 $14 97¢ $14 +$0 07-19 17:13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10 $-5 95¢ $-10 $-5 07-20 00:18
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +6 $7 98¢ $6 $-1 07-19 22:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-18 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-14 12:12
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-16 14:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 07-01 15:42
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-17 12:51
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-13 14:04
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-19 16:03
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-19 10:36
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-17 17:10
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 07-08 22:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 $-0 07-15 21:43