Realized P&L
+$255
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
144
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$861
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$71
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 11-04 04:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Sports
37% 65% +$283
Other
30% 35% -$39
Politics
25% 67% +$31
Crypto
8% 35% -$18
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +64 $13 15¢ $10 -$3 05-23 14:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +60 $5 15¢ $9 +$4 05-03 16:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $20 10¢ $8 -$12 05-23 14:43
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +8 $5 97¢ $8 +$3 05-03 20:22
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +140 $6 5¢ $7 +$1 05-12 22:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +90 $15 7¢ $7 -$8 06-20 21:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 05-19 23:51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 05-05 20:42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $2 37¢ $2 $0 05-09 17:13
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +118 $2 2¢ $2 $0 05-19 23:36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +30 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 05-19 23:40
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-01 20:28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +154 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 05-19 23:36
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 $0 05-05 02:08
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 $0 05-27 01:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 05-05 01:15
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 05-05 20:43
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 05-05 01:57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +24 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 05-16 23:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +7 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-16 23:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-05 20:37
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +28 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 05-19 23:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-05 01:22
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-05 02:14