(anonymous) 0x23eb44…91c516
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$654
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
1,684
Trades
28,085
lifetime
Volume
$65.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$300
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 06-11 13:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
61% 51% +$299
Politics
25% 51% +$165
Sports
9% 60% +$183
Tech
4% 44% +$21
Crypto
1% 50% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$9
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -36 -$20 96¢ $-35 -$14 05-06 17:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -41 -$38 84¢ $-34 +$3 05-07 09:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -24 -$14 94¢ $-22 -$8 05-08 10:39
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 05-08 07:40
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -20 -$18 93¢ $-19 -$1 05-09 23:17
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -17 -$16 93¢ $-16 $0 05-06 12:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -16 -$6 98¢ $-16 -$10 05-21 17:01
Discord IPO before 2027? No -15 -$6 93¢ $-14 -$8 05-06 11:58
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -15 -$14 90¢ $-13 +$1 05-06 13:06
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -11 -$4 96¢ $-11 -$7 05-06 09:52
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -10 -$9 100¢ $-10 -$1 05-07 08:04
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -10 -$4 100¢ $-10 -$6 05-06 15:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 05-10 16:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$2 05-06 20:01
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 -$1 05-19 03:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -10 -$6 72¢ $-7 -$2 05-06 10:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -10 -$6 72¢ $-7 -$1 05-06 13:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7 -$6 96¢ $-7 -$1 05-06 21:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 -$5 43¢ $-4 +$0 05-06 19:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -11 -$4 39¢ $-4 $0 05-08 18:20
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No -9 -$2 38¢ $-3 -$2 05-07 10:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -25 -$4 12¢ $-3 +$1 05-06 20:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -15 -$3 18¢ $-3 +$0 05-06 12:05
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -15 -$4 17¢ $-3 +$2 05-08 11:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -38 -$6 6¢ $-2 +$4 05-06 12:27
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? No -7 -$3 34¢ $-2 +$1 05-07 13:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -20 -$1 9¢ $-2 -$1 05-09 04:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -11 -$3 17¢ $-2 +$1 05-07 12:00
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -20 -$3 6¢ $-1 +$2 05-14 03:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$4 12¢ $-1 +$3 05-06 15:32