Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
1,461
Trades
217,952
lifetime
Volume
$1.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$17
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-01 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
54% 0% $-7
Other
43% 39% +$20
Crypto
2% 38% $-69
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 7040 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -4 $-3 82¢ $-3 $-1 06-01 00:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 00:45
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 00:46
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -3 $-2 87¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 00:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 00:47
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No -3 $-2 51¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 00:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 00:48
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 00:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -3 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 00:48