Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
4,061
Trades
218,395
lifetime
Volume
$1.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$348
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-02 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Politics
54% 40% +$282
Other
43% 37% -$40
Crypto
2% 38% -$176
Tech
1% 26% -$26
Sports
0% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -90 -$89 99¢ $-89 +$0 05-19 23:00
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -75 -$74 99¢ $-75 $0 05-19 23:00
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -60 -$60 99¢ $-59 +$0 05-19 23:01
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -45 -$45 99¢ $-45 +$0 05-19 23:01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -26 -$26 98¢ $-25 +$0 05-19 23:02
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 06-01 00:44
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 06-01 00:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No -4 -$4 94¢ $-4 +$0 06-01 00:45
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -5 -$3 83¢ $-4 -$1 06-01 00:45
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -4 -$4 100¢ $-4 $0 06-01 00:45
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -3 -$3 100¢ $-3 $0 06-01 00:45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -135 -$3 2¢ $-3 $0 05-19 23:00
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:46
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:46
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:47
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:46
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 83¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2 -$2 90¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:47
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -44 -$2 4¢ $-2 $0 05-19 23:01
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 06-01 00:47
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-01 00:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 00:48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 23:58
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 07-02 00:08
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 07-02 00:11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 00:11
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -240 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-19 23:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 00:48
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -90 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-19 23:00