Early-Navigation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

162

Trades

708

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-18 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

59% 62% -$76

Politics

27% 29% -$34

Sports

10% 23% +$3

Crypto

5% 94% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-7	-$7	99¢	$-7	$0	10-13 18:20
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	+6	$6	97¢	$6	$0	10-13 09:00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-0	$0	99¢	$-0	$0	06-23 01:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	05-19 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	3	$1.0K	1,464	1,464	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	-$14	04-22 08:19
lol 7rex rmd 2026 04 22	2	$1.0K	762	762	+0	7REX	+$0	04-22 09:25
mls atl ner 2026 04 22 atl	3	$995	1,106	1,106	+0	No	+$0	04-22 09:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$995	1,344	1,344	+0	No	-$27	04-23 04:46
mex tij pac 2026 04 22 pac	2	$967	1,112	1,112	+0	No	-$11	04-22 15:57
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$934	1,125	1,125	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$34	04-23 07:18
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	2	$923	1,741	1,741	+0	Stefanos Tsitsipas	-$17	04-22 20:16
wti up or down on april 23 2026	2	$795	607	607	+0	Up	-$6	04-23 07:50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	13	$100	51	51	-0	open	—	10-04 08:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	10-05 01:11
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	13	$95	45	52	-7	open	—	10-13 18:20
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	10-16 21:19
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	10-14 14:39
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	10-05 11:35
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$83	39	44	-5	No	$0	03-14 16:13
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	09-24 10:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	13	$79	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	04-12 09:06
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	10-14 05:54
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$72	38	38	+0	No	$0	05-08 03:28
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	10-17 08:19
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	10-10 01:14
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	9	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	10-10 20:47
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	8	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	10-05 13:10
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	8	$64	32	32	-0	open	—	10-13 19:47
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	10-04 10:49
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	6	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	10-17 10:47
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	08-18 17:52
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	08-26 12:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	10-13 14:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$54	33	33	+0	open	—	10-16 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 20:44:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x732d37…
10-17 12:04:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xda7124…
10-17 10:47:36	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd1550c…
10-17 10:37:18	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x598489…
10-17 08:19:27	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x978322…
10-17 08:09:11	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfcf77f…
10-16 21:19:59	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f43f7…
10-16 21:09:39	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x201add…
10-16 17:37:42	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x12db4d…
10-16 14:26:51	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xe4a2de…
10-16 14:10:46	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0faccf…
10-16 10:59:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x828d18…
10-16 07:51:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x00bc24…
10-16 04:40:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4526c0…
10-16 01:02:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xff4b39…
10-14 14:44:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x00140e…
10-14 14:39:15	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x87d66f…
10-14 11:28:49	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1e6b53…
10-14 10:22:23	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf290f6…
10-14 10:12:04	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523693…
10-14 09:21:26	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x01e534…
10-14 06:11:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2b60b7…
10-14 05:54:04	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1c7663…
10-13 22:10:43	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7fc18e…
10-13 19:47:52	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2fcf88…
10-13 19:37:37	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61ab6f…
10-13 18:20:07	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x346d13…
10-13 15:08:58	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd59841…
10-13 14:01:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x5244e8…
10-13 10:51:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x127065…
10-13 09:00:35	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x1f4a1c…
10-13 05:50:22	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7a9d89…
10-13 05:15:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x668eee…
10-12 08:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1984a…
10-11 00:06:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbec2b1…
10-10 22:08:54	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6cb13c…
10-10 21:58:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec0ea7…
10-10 20:47:31	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x63c1ce…
10-10 20:37:13	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c953d…
10-10 20:01:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd792a1…
10-10 19:51:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1d4559…
10-10 18:20:55	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x6093ac…
10-10 15:10:04	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x9b0528…
10-10 12:31:51	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x77f0c3…
10-10 09:21:12	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbb3095…
10-10 07:05:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x27aea4…
10-10 03:54:49	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xe85233…
10-10 02:42:41	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdcb68b…
10-10 02:32:18	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa04f24…
10-10 01:14:56	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xec83c6…
10-10 01:04:43	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe91c1b…
10-09 23:23:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9033b8…
10-07 17:12:26	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdfc812…
10-07 11:41:16	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x11c30c…
10-07 08:30:08	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3de6cc…
10-07 06:23:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x7389b0…
10-06 23:57:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc7072a…
10-06 20:00:57	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdb2e89…
10-06 19:50:32	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2ae67…
10-06 18:38:12	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa1a616…
10-06 18:27:44	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1ef45c…
10-06 16:45:38	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbac826…
10-06 16:34:54	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7e9ec…
10-06 12:46:13	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44630e…
10-06 12:35:51	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c3886…
10-06 11:54:43	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa4958…
10-06 11:43:54	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8533f5…
10-06 10:56:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x46192c…
10-06 07:46:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x136864…
10-06 03:38:43	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x145f1f…
10-06 03:28:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9f3f9…
10-06 01:17:46	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0cb6c4…
10-05 22:07:40	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0188b0…
10-05 17:08:46	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa251e2…
10-05 16:57:52	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbefae1…
10-05 13:10:49	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9795fa…
10-05 12:59:50	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eeff1…
10-05 11:35:50	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3fcc9f…
10-05 11:24:50	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e96ba…
10-05 09:53:08	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x56a3bc…
10-05 09:41:56	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0511c7…
10-05 08:53:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x01cc8f…
10-05 08:42:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbed53f…
10-05 06:55:14	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x229077…
10-05 03:44:11	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3343e8…
10-05 03:12:04	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc2f47d…
10-05 03:01:31	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84759d…
10-05 01:11:52	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x77e2c0…
10-04 22:01:20	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa9154…
10-04 18:54:16	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3d7e42…
10-04 16:20:34	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x16435e…
10-04 12:29:20	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa2f77c…
10-04 10:49:52	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb52602…
10-04 10:38:26	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7aec4…
10-04 08:52:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfed562…
10-04 05:41:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x388324…
10-04 02:15:26	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa6ed50…
10-04 02:04:08	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2eba3…
10-03 23:52:38	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46729b…
10-03 23:41:40	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d406d…