Realized P&L
-$159
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
1,324
Trades
12,564
lifetime
Volume
$144.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$453
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 09-02 20:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 38% +$936
Other
33% 47% +$272
Politics
17% 48% -$1,057
Sports
8% 44% -$303
Tech
1% 50% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -152 -$105 77¢ $-116 -$11 09-02 20:28
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -80 -$38 100¢ $-80 -$42 09-02 20:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -78 -$73 97¢ $-76 -$3 07-06 02:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -49 -$40 92¢ $-45 -$4 07-06 02:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -43 -$33 88¢ $-38 -$5 09-02 20:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$15 92¢ $-18 -$3 09-02 20:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -128 -$19 12¢ $-16 +$3 09-02 20:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -120 -$17 13¢ $-15 +$2 09-02 20:29
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -987 -$7 1¢ $-10 -$3 09-02 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$9 99¢ $-9 $0 09-02 20:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -85 -$13 10¢ $-9 +$4 09-02 20:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25 -$4 27¢ $-7 -$3 09-02 20:29
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -150 -$4 4¢ $-5 -$1 09-02 20:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -19 -$3 20¢ $-4 $0 09-02 20:38
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -105 -$9 3¢ $-3 +$7 09-02 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -108 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 09-02 20:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 09-02 20:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 09-02 20:38
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -35 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-02 20:38