Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
249
Trades
477
lifetime
Volume
$5.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$554
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-27 14:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
58% 93% +$18
Politics
37% 80% -$20
Tech
3% 100% +$12
Crypto
2% 66% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-22 07:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +80 $79 100¢ $80 +$1 10-11 12:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$0 08-13 19:32
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 +$1 09-21 14:07
Trump out as President before 2027? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$1 07-20 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $32 94¢ $38 +$6 10-21 07:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +37 $30 96¢ $36 +$6 09-28 07:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $24 96¢ $29 +$5 10-15 07:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +26 $20 82¢ $22 +$2 10-13 07:16
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-27 14:06
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-20 13:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $0 10-27 13:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$1 09-12 21:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 28 Yes +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 10-15 07:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 09-11 09:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-14 10:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 08-18 03:08
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +10 $8 77¢ $8 $0 10-16 05:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $6 66¢ $7 +$0 10-16 10:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $8 64¢ $6 -$1 10-16 11:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 -$1 09-30 06:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 16¢ $2 -$9 09-23 06:36