Best-Rivulet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$455

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-09 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$3

Other

43% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	+110	$109	99¢	$109	+$0	06-07 05:49
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	+100	$99	99¢	$99	$-0	06-09 12:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	+98	$92	99¢	$97	+$5	06-08 06:22
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	+50	$48	100¢	$50	+$2	05-11 08:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	+40	$36	99¢	$39	+$3	06-08 06:40
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	+30	$30	99¢	$30	+$0	06-01 08:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+20	$17	86¢	$17	+$0	06-03 20:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$15	46¢	$14	$-1	06-03 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$212	180	40	+140	open	—	05-15 20:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$150	151	40	+111	open	—	04-09 09:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	04-06 18:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	5	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	06-07 05:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$106	80	30	+50	open	—	05-12 12:25
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 14:26
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	06-09 12:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	05-11 16:13
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	4	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	05-10 06:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$94	62	62	+0	open	—	05-07 20:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	3	$92	98	0	+98	open	—	06-08 06:22
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 09:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$89	90	0	+90	open	—	05-20 16:35
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?	4	$86	90	0	+90	open	—	04-15 13:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	04-09 12:01
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	05-07 06:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	7	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	05-22 20:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-27 16:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	05-11 12:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-25 11:07
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	3	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-08 14:04
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$48	51	11	+40	open	—	04-14 15:02
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	05-11 08:30
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 14:17
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	3	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	05-02 22:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-22 19:33
Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	05-30 06:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	05-30 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:26:43	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x672c40…
06-08 06:40:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x465c2b…
06-08 06:36:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x142f3f…
06-08 06:22:57	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x346b2b…
06-07 08:59:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xccf4d7…
06-07 05:49:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x38106b…
06-04 09:01:57	will kuwait send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2e7c43…
06-03 20:47:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfc3daf…
06-03 15:37:09	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xe7f4cd…
06-03 13:52:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x15615c…
06-03 13:52:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x86a8ba…
06-03 13:24:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xabf8f1…
06-03 11:38:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x80fa7e…
06-02 14:22:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9db7c0…
06-02 14:22:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9c23a1…
06-02 14:22:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x323eca…
06-01 16:18:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0293da…
06-01 14:30:26	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x81a107…
06-01 13:22:53	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8b3e15…
06-01 08:11:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xabdebb…
05-30 21:25:42	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d5c74…
05-30 17:59:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x42ca0a…
05-30 09:28:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25464b…
05-30 06:12:44	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe7a570…
05-28 14:17:55	Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe6897d…
05-28 13:06:10	Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x019bdb…
05-28 09:27:42	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xc4c641…
05-27 16:56:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x820070…
05-27 16:54:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x25819f…
05-26 18:45:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7d013f…
05-25 19:35:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59be44…
05-25 09:06:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0d29a1…
05-25 06:59:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xe2c8d1…
05-25 06:34:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x609f69…
05-24 20:54:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9b42e5…
05-24 20:46:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa3e5fe…
05-23 19:48:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc47448…
05-23 06:34:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8e3751…
05-22 20:25:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb5a093…
05-22 20:06:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfbb9fb…
05-22 19:33:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe315a9…
05-22 14:13:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9cf4b8…
05-21 20:48:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x134724…
05-21 18:34:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe81c3e…
05-21 11:22:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x377391…
05-21 06:38:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa875ed…
05-20 16:35:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5302be…
05-20 14:30:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7c7f14…
05-20 14:26:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5b46cd…
05-19 12:24:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9b854d…
05-19 04:29:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x655dd8…
05-18 09:33:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x9a4097…
05-17 21:02:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd91b22…
05-17 06:06:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x19f907…
05-17 06:03:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3ab0bc…
05-17 05:58:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9ef261…
05-15 21:18:11	Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6e8f78…
05-15 20:15:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8dd01…
05-15 18:59:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa1b064…
05-15 18:50:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7dacd6…
05-15 13:06:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2a13e…
05-15 11:56:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x449838…
05-14 02:04:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeec235…
05-12 14:16:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb9e211…
05-12 12:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdd7c4f…
05-11 16:13:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e2558…
05-11 15:27:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e9470…
05-11 12:18:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x8bd2fa…
05-11 11:38:36	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8883db…
05-11 11:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x848013…
05-11 08:51:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf294ca…
05-11 08:30:16	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x873cfe…
05-11 05:15:58	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfc3d9d…
05-10 08:13:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa1c89a…
05-10 06:30:40	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x1e99ee…
05-09 21:26:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x81d04e…
05-09 20:00:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcb63ae…
05-08 14:26:02	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xeadfa8…
05-08 14:04:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3893ab…
05-08 13:27:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x56e8ca…
05-08 13:27:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x42aa18…
05-08 13:15:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x22be89…
05-07 20:59:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xf15c7f…
05-07 15:20:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x35a881…
05-07 07:24:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c0739…
05-07 07:11:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x9ba9c8…
05-07 06:27:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xd7e47e…
05-07 05:19:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x9fb10c…
05-06 22:18:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9de13…
05-06 14:41:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x4fb0bc…
05-06 12:24:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf1be65…
05-06 09:04:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3bab8e…
05-05 11:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x85b201…
05-05 05:28:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd68900…
05-05 01:02:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0140ff…
05-05 00:46:40	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xbcc76d…
05-04 21:48:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe711e5…
05-04 21:19:20	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x282b97…
05-04 16:09:50	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xf5abbe…
05-04 15:29:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xec81e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	92	$424.1K	32,495	06-10 00:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	84	$939.5K	12,849	06-10 00:13
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	81	$30.3M	33,832	06-09 14:23
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	81	$160.0K	12,742	06-01 00:45
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	75	$91.1K	739	06-09 23:25
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	71	$85.5K	8,267	04-26 21:54
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	67	$9.27K	524	06-08 01:33
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	66	$77.9K	577	06-08 18:26