Villainous-Craftsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,156

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-11 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Politics

32% 25% $-1

Other

10% 0% $-4

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773423900	98	$19	26	25	+1	open	—	03-13 17:49
btc updown 5m 1773421800	12	$16	17	11	+6	open	—	03-13 17:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	34	$15	23	22	+1	open	—	04-21 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	05-07 13:21
btc updown 5m 1773423600	14	$13	19	11	+9	open	—	03-13 17:41
btc updown 15m 1773399600	4	$13	19	9	+10	open	—	03-13 11:11
btc updown 5m 1773422700	32	$13	18	10	+8	open	—	03-13 17:26
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-12 18:52
btc updown 15m 1773408600	38	$13	33	9	+24	open	—	03-13 13:42
btc updown 5m 1773392400	13	$13	22	10	+12	open	—	03-13 09:01
btc updown 5m 1773392100	7	$13	25	7	+18	open	—	03-13 08:55
btc updown 15m 1773393300	26	$12	20	6	+14	open	—	03-13 09:26
btc updown 15m 1773433800	39	$12	21	6	+15	open	—	03-13 20:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$12	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 12:37
btc updown 15m 1773392400	7	$12	16	6	+10	open	—	03-13 09:11
btc updown 5m 1773420600	29	$12	18	6	+12	open	—	03-13 16:53
btc updown 5m 1773391200	15	$12	16	5	+11	open	—	03-13 08:42
btc updown 5m 1773420300	23	$12	19	4	+16	open	—	03-13 16:49
btc updown 5m 1773421500	19	$11	20	4	+16	open	—	03-13 17:07
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	5	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-02 16:52
btc updown 5m 1773422100	33	$11	17	3	+14	open	—	03-13 17:19
btc updown 15m 1773432900	13	$11	36	4	+32	open	—	03-13 20:26
btc updown 5m 1773390000	15	$11	19	3	+16	open	—	03-13 08:23
btc updown 15m 1773412200	10	$11	23	3	+21	open	—	03-13 14:35
btc updown 5m 1773423000	8	$11	19	2	+16	open	—	03-13 17:32
btc updown 15m 1773394200	11	$11	22	2	+20	open	—	03-13 09:34
btc updown 5m 1773412200	16	$10	20	1	+19	open	—	03-13 14:34
btc updown 5m 1773393300	11	$10	18	2	+16	open	—	03-13 09:19
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	9	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	03-27 02:50
btc updown 5m 1773415200	8	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-13 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:03:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x92f72c…
06-11 10:19:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xedeea3…
06-11 09:26:07	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x079146…
06-07 22:12:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2b2486…
06-06 13:46:16	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xede044…
06-06 13:46:10	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e05e7…
06-06 08:29:12	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0x9d7d06…
06-06 08:29:06	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x8632e2…
06-06 08:29:06	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x670604…
06-06 08:27:45	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc259d6…
06-06 08:08:49	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x45a890…
06-06 07:47:49	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xc61994…
06-06 05:50:54	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x2561fb…
06-06 04:47:12	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x044378…
06-06 04:28:33	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xcc0a98…
06-05 19:51:58	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb84ddf…
06-05 14:12:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xddc1ba…
06-05 13:08:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xba370f…
06-05 11:00:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7a3fca…
06-05 10:09:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x3ad3c4…
06-05 10:06:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4c0fb1…
06-05 09:51:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc28704…
06-05 09:49:48	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7d7a78…
06-05 09:35:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x107685…
06-05 09:25:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x38b647…
06-04 20:10:15	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x9bbcbf…
06-04 09:43:39	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x88b4f3…
06-03 00:24:52	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe00135…
06-02 19:38:15	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x62905c…
06-02 09:25:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x74bc45…
06-01 17:03:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x6111cd…
06-01 17:03:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x62903a…
06-01 17:03:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xddc6e0…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xea8791…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xe15953…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xb221e6…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x90ccf3…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7fa522…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7f09a1…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7a528e…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x3e5d72…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x35d475…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x24ab2e…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x1fc6d3…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x0f3c66…
06-01 17:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x049598…
06-01 17:02:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x405660…
06-01 17:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x994e53…
06-01 17:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7aa0da…
06-01 17:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x318b5a…
06-01 17:02:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xd7d818…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xd00320…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xb4e2a6…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xb1b1d2…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x969ce3…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x7c6431…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x6ef9c7…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x6ac585…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x5cda11…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x58bdac…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x4486d5…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x3e1a9b…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x37b593…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x353d26…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x2e532a…
06-01 17:02:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x28e6ee…
06-01 17:02:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xf1ecbe…
06-01 17:02:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xdf9c12…
06-01 17:02:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xe0d39e…
06-01 17:02:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x9780a0…
06-01 17:02:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x60eae6…
06-01 17:02:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x0d17f5…
06-01 17:02:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x01481b…
06-01 14:07:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x87bba8…
06-01 13:43:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xfb1125…
06-01 12:07:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xae8780…
06-01 12:07:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xb3b7ef…
06-01 12:07:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x0582e1…
06-01 12:01:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xce05a8…
06-01 11:59:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x6627b0…
05-31 16:49:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf2eda9…
05-31 15:03:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xebe046…
05-31 02:52:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x367981…
05-31 02:52:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x12ec80…
05-30 07:27:22	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x4051ca…
05-24 10:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x9b93b9…
05-24 01:44:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x2da692…
05-23 23:42:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xf6121d…
05-23 21:44:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x0ebbe7…
05-23 20:21:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xb8d7f7…
05-23 19:54:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x8141c9…
05-22 13:07:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xc2202d…
05-20 01:10:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe20588…
05-20 01:10:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x912e4d…
05-19 23:57:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xb6aa1a…
05-19 23:31:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x10885f…
05-19 23:02:54	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb37c07…
05-19 23:02:26	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9bc56e…
05-19 23:02:24	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x3cd799…
05-19 23:01:12	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9e0857…