Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$64.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$497

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-09 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$1

Politics

45% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	-300	$-294	98¢	$-295	$-1	06-08 12:30
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	+200	$195	98¢	$196	+$2	06-09 18:32
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	06-09 21:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$4.8K	2,490	2,400	+90	open	—	05-21 03:27
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	10	$3.7K	1,354	2,340	-986	open	—	04-15 20:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	46	$2.8K	1,408	1,500	-92	open	—	05-20 01:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	25	$2.8K	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	05-30 07:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	19	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-17 15:35
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	24	$2.2K	1,100	1,099	+1	open	—	03-31 09:43
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	14	$2.1K	1,000	1,100	-100	open	—	03-28 06:41
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-05 14:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$6	05-07 00:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.9K	960	960	+0	open	—	03-30 12:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	10	$1.9K	800	1,100	-300	open	—	06-08 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	13	$1.8K	989	989	+0	open	—	05-18 21:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-27 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$1.7K	950	750	+200	open	—	05-05 23:33
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-16 19:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$1.5K	950	600	+350	open	—	04-01 11:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$1.4K	590	800	-210	open	—	04-08 16:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	6	$1.3K	500	800	-300	open	—	04-16 22:37
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	12	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	03-30 02:40
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	12	$1.1K	517	549	-32	open	—	03-31 13:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$998	300	700	-400	open	—	04-29 21:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	2	$997	500	500	+0	open	—	05-05 12:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$996	300	700	-400	open	—	04-30 13:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	10	$993	400	600	-200	open	—	04-21 20:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$985	500	500	+0	open	—	04-28 01:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	10	$877	450	450	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:18
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$798	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 19:02
will the us invade iran by march 31	12	$698	375	375	+0	open	—	03-30 21:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	7	$697	350	350	+0	open	—	04-07 16:22
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$672	380	300	+80	open	—	04-13 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:24:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x866c60…
06-09 21:16:15	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc64645…
06-09 21:09:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x60e008…
06-09 21:08:27	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc01e45…
06-09 21:06:52	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xab9975…
06-09 20:54:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x602793…
06-09 20:51:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x18dd71…
06-09 20:47:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfde78d…
06-09 20:15:48	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x5bc1cd…
06-09 20:07:52	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf84fed…
06-09 20:06:48	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xfb4728…
06-09 19:59:46	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x04f56e…
06-09 19:55:40	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x34d53c…
06-09 19:49:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf0c352…
06-09 19:41:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7817a9…
06-09 19:35:07	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x990e91…
06-09 19:18:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x22fe96…
06-09 19:07:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x606fa8…
06-09 18:55:37	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1fc58f…
06-09 18:46:52	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x30cd89…
06-09 18:44:21	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc3ce8c…
06-09 18:32:04	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x9091cd…
06-09 18:23:03	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1dd154…
06-09 18:20:34	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1d7142…
06-09 18:16:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x89a1c0…
06-09 18:12:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9bc1ec…
06-09 17:58:18	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4dcebc…
06-09 17:55:15	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x914f1b…
06-09 17:41:13	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdf5f4b…
06-09 17:37:51	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0164f5…
06-09 17:12:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8f0656…
06-09 17:05:49	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x94d19b…
06-09 17:03:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x34ee52…
06-09 16:57:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2d1bee…
06-09 16:39:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf5042e…
06-09 16:36:43	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd69e0c…
06-09 16:25:55	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfdbe0c…
06-09 10:45:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x7419a3…
06-09 10:45:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd64bff…
06-09 00:38:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x86af30…
06-08 17:39:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2ce20a…
06-08 12:30:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x4d9d5b…
06-07 23:01:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc7c98c…
06-07 23:01:57	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x548e7d…
06-07 23:01:13	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5bc91…
06-07 23:00:57	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x2bfa8b…
06-07 22:50:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	370	98¢	$364	0xdb42be…
06-07 21:50:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe8465f…
06-07 18:57:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xb47f9a…
06-07 15:58:27	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x45e35c…
06-07 15:27:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0xd9480c…
06-07 14:15:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x60b09f…
06-07 13:29:40	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x03405d…
06-07 13:28:10	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x928e75…
06-07 13:25:01	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xac6135…
06-07 13:08:39	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8327d5…
06-07 13:03:58	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb7bb50…
06-07 13:00:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x61bc02…
06-07 12:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfec5f4…
06-07 12:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xdc4fa9…
06-07 12:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2ee752…
06-07 12:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x287d92…
06-07 12:59:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x19e877…
06-07 12:57:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ffebc…
06-07 12:53:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x77e5ad…
06-07 12:51:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa01ca4…
06-07 12:43:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x62941d…
06-07 12:42:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x759492…
06-07 12:42:37	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1d12d9…
06-07 12:35:12	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	161	94¢	$152	0x8867da…
06-07 03:27:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xec44e3…
06-06 13:01:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x0a6fe3…
06-05 14:20:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xcc4a29…
06-04 22:39:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xd178b1…
06-04 22:35:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	874	100¢	$873	0xadd62f…
06-02 11:13:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x59d648…
06-01 21:07:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xbc2819…
05-31 11:54:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x778801…
05-31 11:54:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x27c36a…
05-31 11:54:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x086813…
05-30 07:28:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x49e476…
05-29 22:54:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x703479…
05-28 16:37:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$292	0x5f4598…
05-28 12:47:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xaea766…
05-27 21:08:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xddd47e…
05-27 19:03:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xf203a1…
05-27 10:58:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x9abade…
05-26 22:06:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x4c0686…
05-26 22:06:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x1f60cc…
05-26 21:53:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x58ad31…
05-26 21:51:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x40dcd1…
05-26 21:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x6c12df…
05-26 21:47:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x4d1c1c…
05-24 18:13:02	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x4f4403…
05-22 17:33:36	Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xca46a1…
05-21 03:27:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x2d18df…
05-21 03:22:26	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xbefed6…
05-20 08:29:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x779051…
05-20 01:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	183	98¢	$180	0x4f4fb3…
05-19 23:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x80ac57…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105	61	$127.0K	785	06-09 00:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$833.7K	11,558	06-10 00:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	56	$387.7K	26,760	06-10 00:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	55	$238.3K	910	06-08 20:17
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	55	$223.5K	19,048	06-01 04:50
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	53	$23.6M	22,893	06-08 06:18
Creamy-Impostor 0x3714…9ce3	52	$97.0K	525	06-07 20:26
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	51	$200.0K	20,086	06-09 23:56