Icy-Spud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Sports

24% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.2K	660	660	+0	No	+$3	04-16 17:33
Iran leadership change by June 30?	7	$448	395	395	+0	open	—	06-07 19:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$407	250	250	+0	open	—	06-07 11:03
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	4	$338	195	195	+0	open	—	04-25 09:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$226	151	151	+0	open	—	06-09 09:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$226	116	116	+0	open	—	06-09 01:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$222	168	168	+0	open	—	06-08 17:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	06-09 22:20
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$214	112	112	+0	open	—	06-04 19:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$208	127	127	+0	open	—	05-27 00:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$186	188	188	+0	open	—	05-28 16:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$186	408	306	+102	open	—	05-29 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	5	$175	112	112	+0	open	—	04-24 15:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$168	87	87	+0	open	—	05-21 21:53
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$119	125	125	+0	open	—	04-24 03:42
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$81	78	78	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$55	55	55	+0	open	—	06-06 20:27
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$55	261	261	+0	open	—	04-23 13:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$26	306	306	+0	open	—	06-09 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$25	94	94	+0	open	—	05-24 08:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$19	348	348	+0	open	—	05-30 06:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	3	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	06-01 08:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x97f9f8…
06-09 22:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$86	0x7f18d4…
06-09 22:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x44f94f…
06-09 20:35:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x571fbf…
06-09 18:33:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	306	4¢	$12	0xfeab11…
06-09 15:44:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	5¢	$14	0xbd94c2…
06-09 09:41:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	112	75¢	$84	0xeb6961…
06-09 09:41:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xd647e2…
06-09 09:41:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0x27871e…
06-09 08:14:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	151	75¢	$113	0x0509e0…
06-09 01:32:45	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0x45bbfd…
06-09 01:32:45	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x21ba60…
06-08 22:19:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$101	0x634b67…
06-08 22:19:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3ac816…
06-08 17:27:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	168	68¢	$114	0xfcc4e7…
06-08 15:22:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0xd74a9b…
06-08 15:22:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	125	64¢	$80	0x74684c…
06-07 19:36:45	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	175	10¢	$18	0x0edcdd…
06-07 16:51:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	175	4¢	$7	0xc0c68d…
06-07 11:03:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf1bcdd…
06-07 11:03:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	64	82¢	$52	0xabe33e…
06-07 11:03:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	54	82¢	$44	0x30c015…
06-07 08:01:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	119	81¢	$97	0x30ee6c…
06-06 20:27:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xcf7529…
06-06 20:27:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	50¢	$14	0xa82469…
06-06 18:40:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x29b50d…
06-06 16:04:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xd4c789…
06-06 16:04:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x7b4710…
06-06 14:57:28	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x988d75…
06-05 21:26:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0x286e4a…
06-05 19:14:09	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xd87e15…
06-05 15:03:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	131	81¢	$106	0x76dc73…
06-05 13:14:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	131	81¢	$107	0xb3ed90…
06-04 19:13:40	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	112	96¢	$107	0x4a5bc9…
06-04 17:20:49	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	112	95¢	$107	0x111876…
06-01 08:06:04	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae8569…
05-30 06:57:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$2	0xa7877e…
05-30 03:05:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0xd38a8a…
05-30 01:02:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xfe8c0c…
05-30 01:02:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$2	0xe5f0d6…
05-30 01:01:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	348	3¢	$10	0xb25194…
05-29 13:57:04	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfd50fd…
05-29 10:53:23	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc3c677…
05-29 04:58:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x647e20…
05-28 16:21:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	147	50¢	$74	0xb2d078…
05-28 16:21:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	41	50¢	$20	0x486604…
05-28 13:44:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0xe9f967…
05-28 13:44:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	142	49¢	$70	0x6948c4…
05-28 09:51:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	306	13¢	$40	0x3e1125…
05-28 08:44:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	306	16¢	$48	0xf87005…
05-27 00:50:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x66d797…
05-26 22:28:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	87	81¢	$71	0x63a083…
05-26 19:54:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	110	83¢	$92	0x3e5d4f…
05-26 19:54:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xa5f7e5…
05-25 01:33:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x598612…
05-24 23:39:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xcdb010…
05-24 08:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	94	15¢	$14	0x615e22…
05-24 06:16:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x3ee246…
05-21 21:53:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbc159f…
05-21 21:53:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	86	96¢	$83	0x1cf606…
05-21 18:07:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x4c6ac8…
04-27 01:25:56	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	78	52¢	$41	0x0c85b2…
04-27 00:05:08	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	78	52¢	$40	0x95e340…
04-25 09:48:12	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	97	84¢	$81	0xf03105…
04-25 00:06:32	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0x4d1d21…
04-24 21:18:40	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	98	87¢	$85	0x7316f8…
04-24 18:45:08	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	98	88¢	$86	0x26bcb3…
04-24 15:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x85d996…
04-24 15:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	81	77¢	$62	0x25a5aa…
04-24 13:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd5fe90…
04-24 13:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf6fb4f…
04-24 13:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	104	79¢	$82	0x2d2bd7…
04-24 03:42:20	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	125	47¢	$59	0xeee955…
04-24 01:39:28	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0x002931…
04-23 13:10:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$14	0xc69b27…
04-23 13:10:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x9b333f…
04-23 11:19:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	261	11¢	$30	0xeaf59b…
04-16 17:33:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	660	88¢	$583	0xc602e9…
04-16 12:23:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	655	88¢	$575	0xd30588…
04-16 12:23:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x92c446…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	23	$366.8K	5,621	06-10 04:02
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	22	$129.0K	11,467	06-10 02:21
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	20	$1.13M	18,257	06-10 03:50
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	20	$276.3K	3,387	06-10 03:54
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$6.15M	8,834	06-10 01:15
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	18	$13.8K	297	06-08 20:34
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	18	$1.57K	1,198	06-10 03:36
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	17	$57.1K	15,565	06-10 03:24