Realized P&L (30d)
+$9.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$30.7K
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved (30d)
22
Trades (30d)
1,098
28,637 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$563.7K
$15.3M lifetime
Avg / trade
$535
Open exposure
$195.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Politics
68% 74% +$414,092
Other
25% 61% +$53,109
Crypto
6% 49% -$18,874
Tech
1% 73% -$9,046
Sports
0% 60% +$11,429
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +110,515 $38,097 48¢ $53.6K +$15,502 10-23 10:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +49,116 $42,099 82¢ $40.5K -$1,578 10-22 12:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +113,808 $16,997 18¢ $19.9K +$2,920 10-27 21:51
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +22,861 $15,143 71¢ $16.3K +$1,134 10-01 10:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31,137 $6,742 29¢ $8.9K +$2,132 10-15 18:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +12,000 $9,360 71¢ $8.5K -$840 09-23 18:10
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +16,972 $6,087 44¢ $7.6K +$1,465 10-07 19:23
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +25,436 $6,663 28¢ $7.0K +$332 09-27 14:40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +13,300 $2,061 42¢ $5.7K +$3,591 10-26 13:37
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +8,050 $4,024 61¢ $4.9K +$886 10-20 13:09
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +33,042 $5,094 13¢ $4.3K -$798 10-20 19:09
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 No +4,457 $3,877 94¢ $4.2K +$290 09-07 21:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,900 72¢ $3.6K -$325 09-23 12:40
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +8,695 $1,099 40¢ $3.4K +$2,336 10-29 14:32
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,495 -$1,871 94¢ $-2352 -$481 05-02 15:18
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,688 $1,080 60¢ $1.0K -$59 09-21 20:45
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,347 $18 64¢ $856 +$837 10-30 23:26
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +787 $614 97¢ $765 +$151 10-09 20:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +10,000 -$209 3¢ $315 +$524 09-15 18:38
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,457 $415 6¢ $290 -$126 10-21 16:28
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +297 $279 96¢ $284 +$5 09-04 18:47
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +3,111 $72 7¢ $219 +$147 10-21 05:53
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -200 -$196 99¢ $-198 -$1 07-31 12:30
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +393 $60 44¢ $175 +$114 10-28 08:24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -1,358 -$95 7¢ $-90 +$5 07-31 14:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +323 $68 24¢ $78 +$11 10-20 11:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No -54 -$53 100¢ $-54 -$1 07-28 11:35
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -4,711 -$830 0¢ $-12 +$818 08-07 15:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$713 56¢ $0 +$713 10-27 16:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$1,000 94¢ $0 +$1,000 10-31 05:23