Realized P&L
+$450.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.0K
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
593
Trades
28,551
lifetime
Volume
$15.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$535
Open exposure
$228.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Politics
68%
74%
+$414,092
Other
25%
61%
+$53,109
Crypto
6%
49%
-$18,874
Tech
1%
73%
-$9,046
Sports
0%
60%
+$11,429
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk
• peak 238 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 416 | $1.16M | 687,415 | 506,818 | +180,597 | No | +$10,521 | 03-03 16:37 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 1,471 | $848.3K | 449,721 | 449,721 | +0 | open | — | 09-23 02:26 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 797 | $734.6K | 1,118,621 | 602,395 | +516,226 | Yes | -$12,202 | 04-08 13:33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 675 | $679.7K | 1,317,765 | 1,317,765 | +0 | No | +$919 | 05-14 20:32 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 327 | $396.6K | 414,271 | 42,211 | +372,060 | No | +$7,154 | 04-30 20:39 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 134 | $335.0K | 333,248 | 113,798 | +219,450 | No | +$2,074 | 06-02 11:24 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 220 | $331.7K | 394,708 | 333,534 | +61,173 | No | -$6,893 | 05-29 18:04 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 253 | $328.4K | 243,456 | 199,121 | +44,335 | Yes | +$17,073 | 06-14 21:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 214 | $307.5K | 380,062 | 374,735 | +5,327 | Yes | +$27,298 | 06-13 12:55 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 2,719 | $278.2K | 1,272,256 | 1,348,155 | -75,898 | No | -$5,133 | 04-13 16:54 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 969 | $233.9K | 935,634 | 700,768 | +234,865 | No | +$13,953 | 04-01 00:41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 120 | $220.0K | 206,363 | 88,045 | +118,318 | Yes | +$9,881 | 06-17 18:38 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 118 | $215.7K | 116,551 | 116,480 | +71 | Yes | +$6,914 | 05-25 22:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 742 | $207.0K | 229,115 | 226,133 | +2,982 | No | +$224 | 04-01 18:50 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 252 | $201.6K | 679,712 | 654,490 | +25,222 | No | +$4,702 | 04-29 16:21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 446 | $199.6K | 758,931 | 759,099 | -169 | No | +$2,471 | 05-31 20:51 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | 116 | $195.3K | 91,036 | 131,129 | -40,093 | Yes | +$3,239 | 05-23 14:49 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 414 | $178.5K | 439,261 | 314,867 | +124,395 | Yes | +$50,427 | 04-07 22:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 124 | $163.4K | 129,084 | 119,219 | +9,865 | Yes | +$11,491 | 02-27 11:09 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 327 | $158.3K | 110,599 | 86,259 | +24,339 | No | +$5,273 | 01-14 20:37 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 303 | $143.8K | 135,929 | 135,758 | +171 | Yes | +$26,553 | 02-08 07:50 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st | 53 | $142.3K | 137,809 | 17,809 | +120,000 | No | +$6,096 | 04-21 15:58 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 211 | $139.1K | 76,192 | 76,192 | +0 | No | +$2,617 | 07-31 12:29 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 117 | $136.8K | 171,295 | 48,140 | +123,155 | Yes | -$1,380 | 05-01 22:40 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 179 | $135.2K | 94,484 | 94,484 | +0 | Yes | -$919 | 02-03 11:19 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | 59 | $134.4K | 106,193 | 42,448 | +63,745 | No | +$4,297 | 05-28 18:18 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 83 | $128.6K | 100,000 | 50,884 | +49,116 | open | — | 10-22 12:40 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 127 | $128.6K | 136,950 | 116,236 | +20,715 | No | +$32,877 | 01-31 13:32 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 180 | $121.9K | 108,722 | 95,225 | +13,497 | No | +$3,262 | 09-10 19:02 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 76 | $121.3K | 61,987 | 61,987 | +0 | Yes | +$175 | 04-16 20:51 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||