Costly-Fail 0x52d7fa…240ff9
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
164
164 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.33K
$1.33K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$702
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% 100% +$0
Politics
10% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 5? No +99 $94 100¢ $99 +$5 05-05 20:55
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No +82 $82 100¢ $82 $-0 05-05 02:55
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? No +62 $61 99¢ $61 $-0 05-05 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? No +54 $43 98¢ $53 +$10 05-05 19:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No +43 $41 100¢ $43 +$2 05-05 18:24
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $-0 05-05 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +48 $32 64¢ $31 $-1 05-05 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 6? No +28 $27 98¢ $27 +$1 05-05 18:26
Will Aħwa Maltin win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $-0 05-05 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 6? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 07:36
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? No +56 $23 36¢ $20 $-3 05-05 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$1 05-05 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 5? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 6? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 $-0 05-06 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6? No +14 $12 94¢ $13 +$1 05-06 00:23
Will Ernest Audino be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 $-0 05-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6? Yes +32 $11 38¢ $12 +$1 05-05 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 6? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $-0 05-05 21:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 5? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 05-05 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-04 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 $-0 05-05 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6? Yes +15 $5 60¢ $9 +$4 05-06 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6? No +10 $6 85¢ $8 +$3 05-05 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on May 6? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-05 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 6? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $-0 05-06 02:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 6? No +13 $8 57¢ $7 $-0 05-06 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 5? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 05-05 18:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 5? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 05-05 10:05