Costly-Fail 0x52d7fa…240ff9
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
138
156 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.21K
$1.29K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$768
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% 100% +$0
Politics
10% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 5? No +99 $94 100¢ $99 +$5 05-05 20:55
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No +82 $82 100¢ $82 $-0 05-05 02:55
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? No +62 $61 99¢ $61 $-0 05-05 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6? No +54 $43 92¢ $50 +$7 05-05 19:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No +43 $41 100¢ $43 +$2 05-05 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +48 $32 70¢ $33 +$2 05-05 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 5? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 05-05 11:21
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $-0 05-05 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 6? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 05-05 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 6? No +28 $27 99¢ $28 +$1 05-05 18:26
Will Aħwa Maltin win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $-0 05-05 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 6? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 07:36
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? No +56 $23 36¢ $20 $-2 05-05 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$2 05-05 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5? No +39 $38 45¢ $18 $-21 05-05 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 5? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on May 5? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 05-05 07:25
Will Ernest Audino be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 $-0 05-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6? No +14 $12 88¢ $12 $-0 05-06 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 6? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $-0 05-05 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6? Yes +32 $11 36¢ $12 +$0 05-05 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$0 05-05 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 5? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 05-05 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-04 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 5? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 05-05 09:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 6? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 05-05 10:30