Infinite-Cloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

326

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$137

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 59% -$15

Other

25% 50% -$4

Sports

2% 88% +$1

Tech

1% 60% +$0

Politics

0% 65% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	+45	$45	100¢	$45	$0	10-28 03:50
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-40	-$38	99¢	$-40	-$1	10-28 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-31	-$30	100¢	$-31	-$1	05-05 03:07
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$20	100¢	$-20	$0	07-21 02:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-28 03:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	39¢	$0	-$1	10-28 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	8	$619	310	310	+0	No	$0	06-23 04:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	6	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:07
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	09-14 10:40
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$354	170	190	-20	open	—	07-21 02:58
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	5	$351	176	176	+0	No	$0	03-13 10:48
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	4	$318	160	160	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$239	120	120	+0	No	$0	06-10 04:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$211	126	86	+40	No	+$0	04-29 09:44
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	5	$209	105	105	+0	No	$0	04-19 08:21
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	2	$200	101	100	+0	No	$0	07-07 04:06
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-29 03:03
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-11 09:11
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-11 04:08
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	07-21 02:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	06-13 07:22
will bnb reach 1100 in march	4	$187	94	94	+0	No	$0	03-12 12:14
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	10-14 04:24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-27 04:11
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	6	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-28 07:03
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-17 06:04
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-03 03:24
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-27 06:20
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-30 05:23
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-03 10:35
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	09-05 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-24 03:08
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	10-22 04:48
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-16 05:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	2	$178	90	90	+0	open	—	10-20 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$178	90	90	+0	No	-$1	09-19 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:52:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x322a31…
10-28 03:52:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac06bd…
10-28 03:50:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1d00db…
10-28 03:50:25	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1f35bf…
10-26 05:37:44	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x001b5e…
10-26 05:37:36	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c4580…
10-26 05:36:35	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xde9f40…
10-26 05:35:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3ce1b8…
10-26 05:35:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c77f0…
10-26 05:35:00	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xefb669…
10-22 04:51:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaf230a…
10-22 04:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x351ffa…
10-22 04:49:00	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x14c702…
10-22 04:48:41	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x38a769…
10-22 04:48:09	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xad3562…
10-20 06:59:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd4156a…
10-20 06:58:20	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96d449…
10-20 06:53:43	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x45967a…
10-20 06:51:02	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc9b051…
10-20 06:50:55	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x318ccb…
10-20 06:50:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9b5bca…
10-20 06:50:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x35fbd4…
10-14 04:30:41	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a6df…
10-14 04:29:14	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8c6d0a…
10-14 04:27:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x23d183…
10-14 04:25:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x664de4…
10-14 04:24:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x486830…
10-14 04:24:11	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xc6ad7b…
10-12 11:12:56	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$90	0xb41ff9…
10-12 11:12:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4aa9fa…
10-12 11:12:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x33217a…
10-12 11:12:06	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3ee499…
10-12 11:12:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x7fc9ae…
10-09 07:11:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6956f6…
10-09 07:11:21	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2af4ed…
10-09 07:10:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x81180b…
10-09 07:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x262075…
10-07 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x78dd60…
10-07 05:38:33	Will Pieter Cullis win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8e3905…
10-07 05:37:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb90207…
10-07 05:37:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd63f25…
10-07 05:36:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x86941e…
10-07 05:35:23	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e5fb0…
10-07 05:35:15	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x408f8a…
10-07 05:35:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x69ba3c…
10-07 05:35:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x31caa2…
10-07 05:34:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x695091…
10-05 12:23:29	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x21fda8…
10-05 12:22:44	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe6af65…
10-05 12:22:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x47577c…
10-05 12:22:10	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94b27d…
10-05 12:21:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xb639e2…
09-29 03:48:48	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe952db…
09-29 03:48:24	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x44d85a…
09-26 03:04:42	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3b1630…
09-26 03:04:09	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x3d790f…
09-24 03:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8b6144…
09-24 03:10:14	Will Xi leave the USA on September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c5877…
09-24 03:10:08	Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x30a3b6…
09-24 03:09:40	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x8b365a…
09-24 03:08:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xc0c6c9…
09-22 04:02:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07c4b4…
09-22 04:02:12	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xbe2010…
09-22 04:00:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x70b344…
09-19 03:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x554459…
09-19 03:42:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x291942…
09-19 03:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfb31f9…
09-19 03:42:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x816f76…
09-18 07:31:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0064b9…
09-18 07:30:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77725a…
09-18 07:29:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xffe2f1…
09-18 07:28:12	ethereum up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x299c37…
09-18 07:27:34	Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xab353c…
09-18 07:27:28	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaa47b2…
09-18 07:27:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x96f467…
09-16 05:15:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07ab14…
09-16 05:15:42	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83c7dd…
09-16 05:12:04	Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x62235f…
09-16 05:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0b08cd…
09-16 05:08:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 16?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x83b927…
09-16 05:07:06	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5fe050…
09-16 05:06:58	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbb2a47…
09-16 05:06:51	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x079fa9…
09-16 05:06:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc9bb00…
09-16 05:06:22	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x767bc6…
09-14 10:41:25	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1fe87e…
09-14 10:41:18	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2f0b3…
09-14 10:40:55	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5a963b…
09-14 10:40:19	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x7b9926…
09-10 04:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd53f03…
09-10 04:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc55b8b…
09-10 04:13:10	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3dc87…
09-10 04:11:45	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x53bbd4…
09-10 04:10:18	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea2c0b…
09-10 04:09:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xe0728d…
09-08 05:29:22	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x34bfb0…
09-08 05:23:42	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05e291…
09-08 05:22:54	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x379574…
09-08 05:22:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0xa5c905…
09-08 05:20:34	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd76b79…