Bad-Pork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

583

lifetime

Volume

$115.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

$332

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$1

Politics

41% 50% $-6

Crypto

18% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	+200	$197	99¢	$198	+$1	06-07 06:22
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$1	06-03 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-26	$-25	94¢	$-24	+$1	06-04 10:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+13	$10	84¢	$11	+$1	06-04 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	38	$11.0K	9,323	1,881	+7,442	open	—	04-26 04:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	32	$8.0K	7,666	624	+7,042	open	—	03-23 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$6.6K	3,321	3,321	+0	open	—	05-09 08:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	16	$5.2K	5,264	10	+5,254	open	—	02-20 19:46
will paradex launch a token on march 5	5	$4.9K	3,015	1,869	+1,146	open	—	03-06 15:06
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	2	$4.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-18 16:31
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	2	$4.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-18 14:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$4.4K	4,372	0	+4,372	open	—	03-02 19:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$3.5K	3,525	0	+3,525	open	—	02-01 12:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$3.1K	3,065	0	+3,065	open	—	05-28 11:52
elon musk of tweets january 2026 20 39	1	$2.8K	2,845	0	+2,845	open	—	01-02 21:22
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 total 164pt5	30	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-17 18:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.4K	2,391	10	+2,381	open	—	03-04 18:20
cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	12	$2.2K	1,195	1,095	+100	open	—	06-06 20:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$2.2K	2,102	63	+2,039	open	—	03-16 09:55
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?	5	$2.1K	1,834	286	+1,548	open	—	03-05 11:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$2.1K	2,006	80	+1,926	open	—	03-12 16:25
megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-01 18:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	22	$2.0K	996	996	+0	open	—	04-20 19:35
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1.9K	1,869	0	+1,869	open	—	03-06 15:06
will iran strike israel on march 1	7	$1.7K	1,708	5	+1,703	open	—	03-01 20:12
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	1	$1.6K	1,596	0	+1,596	open	—	02-07 22:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.5K	799	799	+0	Yes	$-12	05-05 09:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	11	$1.4K	1,261	150	+1,111	open	—	01-22 21:25
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	9	$1.3K	1,355	0	+1,355	open	—	06-07 18:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	2	$1.3K	660	660	+0	open	—	05-17 19:23
will iran strike iraq in march	12	$1.2K	625	625	+0	open	—	03-02 06:52
Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?	4	$1.2K	605	605	+0	open	—	03-04 22:03
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	3	$1.1K	573	573	+0	open	—	01-31 13:36
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$1	02-13 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:06:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	397	0¢	$2	0xad7638…
06-08 12:06:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	123	24¢	$30	0x78fd15…
06-08 11:29:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x5b14d8…
06-08 10:36:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xdb1df8…
06-08 10:30:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	236	2¢	$5	0xb3abd2…
06-08 10:30:33	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0xfc9b97…
06-07 18:11:00	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d27eb…
06-07 18:10:40	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0x322ca6…
06-07 18:05:13	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1de91a…
06-07 17:58:39	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x9be363…
06-07 17:58:31	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xfa763d…
06-07 17:55:57	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xe8c051…
06-07 17:52:57	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5a8cec…
06-07 17:48:06	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x8e4f93…
06-07 16:42:03	cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07	GamerLegion	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x27ad6e…
06-07 16:13:42	cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07	GamerLegion	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf13c41…
06-07 13:54:00	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa7534e…
06-07 06:22:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$195	0x0c7641…
06-07 05:34:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22d46d…
06-06 20:12:36	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xcf013a…
06-06 20:05:18	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	SELL	942	100¢	$939	0x2f8779…
06-06 20:03:10	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf986c…
06-06 20:02:31	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x314daa…
06-06 20:02:30	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x0f7ea4…
06-06 20:02:00	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x39ef04…
06-06 20:01:57	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x567e1f…
06-06 20:01:39	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xa19f7d…
06-06 20:01:07	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8c12f2…
06-06 20:01:07	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4ea521…
06-06 19:55:51	cs2 ts7 mibr 2026 06 06	MIBR	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdf02b3…
06-06 18:46:18	will solana dip to 20 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7e8ccb…
06-06 07:45:37	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x49a8b3…
06-06 07:20:34	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x37b747…
06-04 16:09:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa04a63…
06-04 10:28:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xc59677…
06-03 11:04:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xbf91bf…
06-03 06:17:35	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb23837…
06-01 16:40:48	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5bd37c…
06-01 15:28:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xac50d0…
06-01 15:27:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x29a60a…
06-01 14:37:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcce8cc…
05-31 17:57:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0xc14ad6…
05-28 11:52:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x6d5636…
05-28 05:41:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xac5401…
05-28 05:41:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0x39142a…
05-24 10:21:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x85b512…
05-24 10:20:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x6a4fef…
05-23 17:14:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf9907d…
05-21 17:34:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x38a3df…
05-21 13:02:00	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1ef71a…
05-17 19:23:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	SELL	660	100¢	$659	0x67d4c1…
05-16 08:41:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x087c49…
05-16 08:40:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xc985e3…
05-15 05:35:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	660	100¢	$658	0x6b41c0…
05-11 15:39:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57239d…
05-11 15:38:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xf22c81…
05-09 08:45:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3,321	100¢	$3,318	0x9c7dce…
05-09 08:09:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x97253b…
05-09 07:57:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3518c9…
05-06 19:11:48	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa711b9…
05-06 19:10:38	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5f508d…
05-06 06:21:34	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6b1090…
05-06 06:02:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa797d3…
05-05 09:55:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	257	89¢	$229	0x56103f…
05-05 09:55:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	799	94¢	$754	0x5b04b5…
05-02 12:45:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x4767e2…
05-02 11:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,301	100¢	$1,300	0x652370…
05-01 18:00:28	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	No	BUY	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0x9e4da0…
05-01 17:28:30	megaeth fdv above 1pt8b one day after launch	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x216d9c…
05-01 17:13:02	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x663e09…
05-01 17:11:06	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b2378…
04-30 16:01:58	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa61db2…
04-30 16:01:40	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x444e57…
04-30 11:17:08	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x7dfebd…
04-30 11:10:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x12f5b2…
04-30 11:10:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x39b5ed…
04-30 11:08:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5ce7a1…
04-30 11:04:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$4	0xe67f66…
04-30 10:52:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xd954c4…
04-30 10:38:04	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe69719…
04-30 10:23:46	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x059db4…
04-30 10:22:48	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	567	2¢	$9	0xeda095…
04-30 10:18:26	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xce7ce6…
04-30 10:15:40	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0xaa8125…
04-30 10:15:38	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0x03cc43…
04-30 10:15:20	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9bc6c7…
04-30 10:13:08	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xd988a8…
04-30 10:10:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x102161…
04-29 17:20:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	532	100¢	$531	0x7e74a8…
04-29 05:19:20	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xfd1dd5…
04-28 20:01:14	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x17a577…
04-27 06:06:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0xea70ba…
04-26 04:50:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x92fe68…
04-25 10:58:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	701	99¢	$696	0xac80f1…
04-25 06:10:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f4869…
04-25 05:40:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x68b247…
04-22 17:21:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	802	100¢	$801	0x8210f8…
04-21 19:54:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	785	99¢	$778	0xbbabf6…
04-21 19:38:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d9bd7…
04-21 19:38:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8b68b…