Relieved-Cry 0x64befd…3ac653
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$824
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
3,104
40,067 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$116.2K
$1.43M lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$12.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-29 05:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
38% 66% +$1,245
Sports
34% 43% -$4,299
Other
26% 36% -$5,926
Crypto
1% 50% -$569
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,411 -$1,623 78¢ $-1869 -$246 10-28 12:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +920 $863 97¢ $896 +$33 09-21 06:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -802 -$570 100¢ $-801 -$231 06-05 14:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -832 -$553 96¢ $-799 -$245 06-17 14:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +593 $501 96¢ $566 +$66 05-26 14:49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +680 $507 82¢ $561 +$54 10-26 21:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +881 $661 58¢ $511 -$150 10-28 12:48
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +559 $408 90¢ $500 +$92 10-24 01:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +554 $299 86¢ $474 +$175 10-12 09:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,126 $466 42¢ $473 +$7 10-28 10:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +997 $395 43¢ $430 +$35 10-27 14:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +431 $565 98¢ $421 -$145 08-12 18:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +606 $169 58¢ $351 +$182 10-28 12:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -508 -$350 66¢ $-338 +$12 10-29 03:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,396 $443 22¢ $314 -$129 10-29 05:55
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No -290 -$285 98¢ $-283 +$2 10-03 12:00
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -322 -$268 86¢ $-279 -$11 10-29 01:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +698 $316 32¢ $227 -$89 09-22 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +517 $285 42¢ $217 -$68 10-28 12:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +666 $281 32¢ $216 -$65 10-25 16:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 99¢ $212 +$2 06-10 02:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -295 -$207 72¢ $-211 -$4 10-28 19:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -310 -$155 68¢ $-209 -$55 09-22 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -230 -$160 88¢ $-204 -$43 09-26 00:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No -196 -$171 92¢ $-179 -$8 10-03 19:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -522 -$177 34¢ $-175 +$3 10-23 09:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +174 $166 98¢ $170 +$4 09-22 08:38
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $186 98¢ $169 -$16 10-29 02:46
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No -202 -$197 78¢ $-159 +$38 10-27 01:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -148 -$117 97¢ $-142 -$26 10-17 11:18