Relieved-Cry 0x64befd…3ac653
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$129
Unrealized P&L
-$716
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
1,330
40,185 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$46.9K
$1.44M lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$12.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-30 03:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
38% 66% +$1,245
Sports
34% 43% -$4,299
Other
26% 36% -$5,926
Crypto
1% 50% -$569
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,611 -$1,765 76¢ $-1998 -$232 10-29 17:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +920 $863 97¢ $896 +$32 09-21 06:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -802 -$570 100¢ $-801 -$231 06-05 14:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -832 -$553 95¢ $-790 -$237 06-17 14:38
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +680 $507 84¢ $568 +$61 10-26 21:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +896 $670 60¢ $538 -$132 10-30 02:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +573 $476 94¢ $536 +$60 10-29 17:39
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +559 $408 88¢ $494 +$87 10-24 01:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +554 $299 86¢ $474 +$175 10-12 09:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,176 $486 40¢ $470 -$16 10-29 17:45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +997 $395 42¢ $420 +$25 10-27 14:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +431 $565 97¢ $420 -$146 08-12 18:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -508 -$350 68¢ $-348 +$2 10-29 03:09
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No -290 -$285 97¢ $-281 +$4 10-03 12:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,178 $387 24¢ $277 -$110 10-30 00:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +422 $56 60¢ $254 +$198 10-29 19:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -333 -$234 72¢ $-240 -$6 10-29 17:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +698 $316 32¢ $220 -$96 09-22 13:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -310 -$155 68¢ $-212 -$58 09-22 13:23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 99¢ $212 +$2 06-10 02:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +666 $281 32¢ $210 -$72 10-25 16:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -230 -$160 90¢ $-206 -$46 09-26 00:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -232 -$191 86¢ $-198 -$7 10-29 23:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +174 $166 97¢ $169 +$4 09-22 08:38
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $186 98¢ $169 -$17 10-29 02:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -522 -$177 32¢ $-164 +$13 10-23 09:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +384 $226 40¢ $153 -$74 10-30 02:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -148 -$117 96¢ $-142 -$25 10-17 11:18
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +158 $15 89¢ $140 +$125 10-28 17:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -432 -$120 28¢ $-121 -$1 10-26 23:41