Relieved-Cry 0x64befd…3ac653
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$769
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
856
Trades
40,248
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$12.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-30 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
39% 66% +$1,245
Sports
34% 43% -$4,299
Other
26% 36% -$5,926
Crypto
1% 50% -$569
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,611 -$1,765 78¢ $-2050 -$285 10-29 17:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +920 $863 98¢ $897 +$34 09-21 06:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -802 -$570 100¢ $-801 -$231 06-05 14:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -832 -$553 94¢ $-786 -$233 06-17 14:38
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +680 $507 84¢ $575 +$68 10-26 21:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +573 $476 94¢ $541 +$66 10-29 17:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +906 $676 58¢ $530 -$146 10-30 18:20
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +589 $433 90¢ $527 +$94 10-30 16:19
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,176 $486 42¢ $488 +$2 10-29 17:45
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +554 $299 86¢ $479 +$181 10-12 09:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +997 $395 42¢ $423 +$27 10-27 14:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +431 $565 97¢ $420 -$145 08-12 18:50
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No -290 -$285 97¢ $-282 +$3 10-03 12:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -386 -$267 70¢ $-272 -$5 10-30 19:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +422 $56 59¢ $248 +$192 10-29 19:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,153 $381 22¢ $248 -$133 10-30 17:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -823 -$271 30¢ $-243 +$28 10-30 19:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -333 -$234 72¢ $-238 -$4 10-29 17:50
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +266 $107 88¢ $234 +$127 10-30 16:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -310 -$155 72¢ $-222 -$67 09-22 13:23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 99¢ $212 +$2 06-10 02:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -230 -$160 88¢ $-204 -$43 09-26 00:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +698 $316 29¢ $199 -$117 09-22 13:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +666 $281 29¢ $190 -$92 10-25 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +174 $166 98¢ $170 +$4 09-22 08:38
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $186 98¢ $170 -$16 10-29 02:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +384 $226 41¢ $158 -$68 10-30 02:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -148 -$117 97¢ $-143 -$26 10-17 11:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -432 -$120 29¢ $-123 -$3 10-26 23:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +144 $101 82¢ $118 +$17 10-30 03:41