Relieved-Cry 0x64befd…3ac653
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$797
Hit rate
29.5%
Resolved (90d)
380
Trades (90d)
10,263
39,183 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$296.6K
$1.39M lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-30 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
39% 66% +$1,245
Sports
34% 43% -$4,299
Other
26% 36% -$5,926
Crypto
1% 50% -$569
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,611 -$1,765 76¢ $-1998 -$232 10-29 17:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +920 $863 98¢ $897 +$34 09-21 06:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -802 -$570 100¢ $-801 -$231 06-05 14:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -832 -$553 95¢ $-790 -$237 06-17 14:38
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +680 $507 84¢ $568 +$61 10-26 21:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +573 $476 94¢ $541 +$66 10-29 17:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +901 $673 60¢ $536 -$137 10-30 06:15
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +589 $433 90¢ $530 +$96 10-30 16:19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +554 $299 86¢ $479 +$181 10-12 09:01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,176 $486 40¢ $476 -$10 10-29 17:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -613 -$423 72¢ $-438 -$16 10-30 16:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +997 $395 42¢ $422 +$26 10-27 14:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +431 $565 98¢ $421 -$144 08-12 18:50
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No -290 -$285 97¢ $-282 +$3 10-03 12:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,148 $380 24¢ $270 -$110 10-30 10:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +422 $56 59¢ $251 +$195 10-29 19:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -333 -$234 72¢ $-240 -$6 10-29 17:50
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +266 $107 88¢ $234 +$127 10-30 16:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -310 -$155 72¢ $-225 -$70 09-22 13:23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 99¢ $212 +$2 06-10 02:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -230 -$160 90¢ $-206 -$46 09-26 00:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +698 $316 28¢ $192 -$124 09-22 13:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +666 $281 27¢ $180 -$102 10-25 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +174 $166 98¢ $170 +$4 09-22 08:38
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $186 98¢ $169 -$16 10-29 02:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +384 $226 41¢ $156 -$71 10-30 02:06
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +215 $192 71¢ $153 -$39 10-30 15:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -522 -$177 29¢ $-149 +$29 10-23 09:09
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -172 -$140 84¢ $-145 -$5 10-30 16:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -148 -$117 97¢ $-143 -$26 10-17 11:18