Realized P&L
-$9.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.77K
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
1,052
Trades
36,937
lifetime
Volume
$7.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$292.2K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 16:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
93% 61% -$3,790
Politics
4% 85% +$945
Crypto
2% 79% -$7,042
Sports
0% 71% +$359
Tech
0% 80% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -219,949 -$205,156 98¢ $-215441 -$10,285 10-22 16:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -42,454 -$39,703 96¢ $-40820 -$1,116 09-08 10:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -33,804 -$31,189 97¢ $-32637 -$1,448 06-09 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -105,503 -$7,327 2¢ $-2163 +$5,164 05-12 07:07
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -1,026 -$987 98¢ $-1005 -$19 06-09 11:04
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -136 -$30 78¢ $-106 -$76 04-30 17:05
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -136 -$39 22¢ $-30 +$9 06-15 17:16