Intrepid-Mode — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

1,884

Trades

2,080

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 09-15 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 96% -$11

Other

13% 60% +$1

Politics

4% 80% -$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	06-10 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	05-26 21:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-26 21:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	5	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	06-10 22:59
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	4	$14	85	85	+0	open	—	06-22 23:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-26 21:12
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	3	$11	5	6	-1	No	$0	05-15 16:47
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$10	5	6	-1	open	—	06-10 23:00
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 9?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 16:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-14 20:32
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 21:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 21:14
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 00:07
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 00:08
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:09
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-20 20:53
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 22:02
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 21:12
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-15 21:48
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 19:24
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 19:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 19:25
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-26 21:14
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:55
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-12 07:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 04:38
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-26 21:12
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 23:57
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 23:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2d0a51…
09-15 23:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a46bb…
09-15 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf476e7…
09-15 23:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbaf281…
09-13 14:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd016c6…
09-13 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb2b4ba…
09-05 17:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7afe7f…
09-05 17:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6900dd…
06-22 23:57:59	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe5d98c…
06-22 23:57:47	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x9c0de1…
06-22 19:42:49	Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdef7a1…
06-20 20:53:01	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9c3907…
06-15 21:48:01	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x50169b…
06-13 12:11:21	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0x04535a…
06-10 23:00:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x429630…
06-10 22:59:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xed1ebd…
06-09 09:59:33	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x979652…
06-03 22:02:12	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x76f2a7…
06-03 22:02:00	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc9ddc2…
06-03 22:01:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x027eb2…
06-01 19:25:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7055f4…
06-01 19:25:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9ff37e…
06-01 19:24:59	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x961d35…
06-01 19:24:36	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0ae433…
06-01 19:24:05	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x239cf9…
06-01 04:38:02	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ae754…
05-31 00:17:45	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea9a14…
05-31 00:17:38	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5d2535…
05-31 00:09:20	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x79b145…
05-31 00:08:25	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb05d66…
05-31 00:07:56	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbdeef1…
05-26 21:15:54	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x65f6a6…
05-26 21:14:44	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x27025b…
05-26 21:14:14	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x42f199…
05-26 21:14:00	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd933bc…
05-26 21:12:55	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc049b8…
05-26 21:12:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4af963…
05-26 21:12:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc0cc45…
05-26 21:08:35	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x9bdca6…
05-26 21:08:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb97180…
05-26 21:08:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5bbe74…
05-26 21:07:47	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3415c0…
05-26 21:07:35	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x38abbd…
05-26 21:07:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8f5d8f…
05-25 17:17:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfc1283…
05-24 15:12:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd1c6b4…
05-24 15:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad8c0d…
05-23 20:34:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf77e5c…
05-23 14:04:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb07c2e…
05-23 05:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a26be…
05-23 04:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe87292…
05-23 04:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28477c…
05-23 03:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd0be4a…
05-23 02:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4b64b…
05-22 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf5f839…
05-22 22:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xefb755…
05-22 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd33b37…
05-22 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0bbf56…
05-22 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb61022…
05-22 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x20f522…
05-22 20:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7dfcdd…
05-22 20:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x148df6…
05-22 19:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdfa938…
05-22 19:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89cd5a…
05-22 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe1a987…
05-22 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1dc013…
05-22 18:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3291e1…
05-22 17:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x857973…
05-22 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9e148…
05-22 17:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde27e8…
05-22 15:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48a016…
05-22 12:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x01282b…
05-22 12:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5106aa…
05-22 09:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x537dd1…
05-22 08:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x04249c…
05-22 08:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2cf7a4…
05-22 08:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x426dcc…
05-22 06:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a0d9c…
05-22 05:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe0c2a5…
05-22 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x97bd09…
05-22 02:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d63fa…
05-22 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ec0ce…
05-22 02:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6e2d53…
05-22 01:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa40b4f…
05-21 23:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa52b96…
05-21 11:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48e35c…
05-21 10:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad343b…
05-21 09:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f600e…
05-21 08:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x675b36…
05-21 08:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa224cf…
05-21 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb2dea6…
05-21 06:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xddce2f…
05-21 06:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c75b2…
05-21 05:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a33ca…
05-21 05:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc55c1…
05-21 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f4171…
05-21 03:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a7f2d…
05-21 03:09:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 62 million or more views on day 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a223f…
05-21 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb411f2…
05-21 02:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa30a2d…