(anonymous) 0x6bd126…3c9e1d
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
60
lifetime
Volume
$2.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 10:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
48% — —
Other
45% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -334 $-323 95¢ $-317 +$6 05-11 03:39
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -361 $-317 84¢ $-305 +$12 05-11 03:38
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No -274 $-252 92¢ $-253 $-2 05-11 03:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +213 $200 94¢ $199 $-1 05-11 10:41
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +182 $170 92¢ $169 $-1 05-11 05:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +158 $150 94¢ $149 $-1 05-11 10:36
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -133 $-80 82¢ $-110 $-30 05-11 03:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +145 $107 74¢ $106 $-1 05-10 13:56
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -60 $-58 97¢ $-59 $-1 05-11 03:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11? No +56 $50 90¢ $51 +$1 05-11 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? Yes +53 $50 95¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:42
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:41
Iran leadership change by May 31? No +54 $50 93¢ $50 +$0 05-11 10:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +52 $50 96¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +53 $50 94¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +53 $50 94¢ $50 $-0 05-11 10:41
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? No -34 $-31 90¢ $-31 $-0 05-11 03:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 05-11 10:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 05-11 10:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No +25 $25 98¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +25 $25 98¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +26 $25 94¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin Jannik Sinner +26 $25 96¢ $25 $-0 05-11 10:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -13 $-11 81¢ $-11 $-0 05-11 03:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36 $-7 19¢ $-7 $-0 05-11 03:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25 $-6 24¢ $-6 $-0 05-11 03:58