Realized P&L (7d)
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
0
303 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.34K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$73
28 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-07 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
39% 16% -$3
Other
31% 23% +$4
Sports
29% 25% -$143
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,028 $16 2¢ $17 +$1 09-06 22:23
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +300 $15 5¢ $15 +$0 08-06 18:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +567 -$8 2¢ $9 +$17 09-21 11:05
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +45 $5 19¢ $9 +$4 08-10 10:40
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +4 $1 98¢ $4 +$3 08-10 10:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +12 $5 29¢ $3 -$1 10-07 12:28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +71 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-06 18:08
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +29 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-06 18:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-06 18:18
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 06-18 16:37
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $0 07-07 08:29
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-01 21:10
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +171 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-14 13:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-27 21:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $0 10-01 21:08
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-04 21:02
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-14 13:29
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-14 13:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 08-14 12:51
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +66 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-14 13:29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-07 08:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-01 17:55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-09 19:27
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-10 19:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +68 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +2 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 09-14 10:32
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +83 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 12:50