(anonymous) 0x703b7b…272320 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$139
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
178
Trades
303
lifetime
Volume
$1.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$53
28 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-07 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
39% 19% -$3
Other
31% 24% +$6
Sports
29% 25% -$143
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +45 $5 34¢ $15 +$10 08-10 10:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,028 $16 1¢ $13 -$3 09-06 22:23
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +300 $15 3¢ $10 -$5 08-06 18:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +567 -$8 1¢ $4 +$12 09-21 11:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +24 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 08-27 21:16
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-06 18:18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +71 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-06 18:08
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:37
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-14 13:29
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-01 21:10
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +9 $1 7¢ $1 $0 07-07 08:29
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? Yes +8 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 10-07 12:28
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +29 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:14
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-07 08:23
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-01 17:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-10 19:13
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +171 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-14 13:29
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-09 19:27
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 13:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +12 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-07 12:28
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-14 12:51
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +83 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 12:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +68 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:10
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +66 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 13:29
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 Yes +6 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-14 10:32
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +13 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:28