(anonymous) 0x703b7b…272320 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved (90d)
39
Trades (90d)
50
303 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$156
$1.34K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$55
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-07 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
39% 19% -$3
Other
31% 23% +$2
Sports
29% 25% -$143
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,028 $16 1¢ $15 -$1 09-06 22:23
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +300 $15 3¢ $10 -$5 08-06 18:31
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +45 $5 19¢ $9 +$4 08-10 10:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +567 -$8 1¢ $5 +$13 09-21 11:05
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +4 $1 100¢ $4 +$3 08-10 10:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +20 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 08-06 18:18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +71 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-06 18:08
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 08-27 21:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-01 21:10
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes +33 $1 3¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:37
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-14 13:29
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +29 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-06 18:14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +12 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 10-07 12:28
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +9 $1 6¢ $1 $0 07-07 08:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 08-14 12:51
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-09 19:27
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? Yes +8 $0 5¢ $0 +$1 10-07 12:28
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +171 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-14 13:29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-07 08:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-01 17:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-10 19:13
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 13:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +68 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:10
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +83 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 12:50
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +66 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-14 13:29
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 Yes +6 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-06 18:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-14 10:32