Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
9.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
2,144
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$45
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-02 04:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
48% 67% $-1
Other
24% 43% $-3
Sports
20% 0% $-1
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 07-01 10:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 17:41
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -3 $-3 74¢ $-2 +$1 06-13 14:03
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-2 76¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 10:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:17
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:13
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -15 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-02 04:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +27 $3 $0 $-3 06-21 20:13