Realized P&L
-$7.95K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
35.8%
Resolved
322
Trades
1,879
lifetime
Volume
$151.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$637
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 10-17 18:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
56% 41% -$7,549
Politics
34% 45% -$681
Tech
6% 55% +$40
Sports
3% 71% +$249
Crypto
1% 50% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -151 -$118 94¢ $-143 -$25 05-07 01:13
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -167 -$92 84¢ $-141 -$49 04-30 07:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -100 -$87 97¢ $-97 -$10 05-02 09:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$78 39¢ $-78 +$0 04-30 15:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -50 -$38 91¢ $-46 -$7 04-28 22:38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -32 -$29 95¢ $-30 -$1 04-30 06:54
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -20 -$16 97¢ $-19 -$4 05-01 01:20
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No -20 -$18 90¢ $-18 $0 05-01 05:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -20 -$15 73¢ $-15 +$1 04-30 12:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -40 -$21 34¢ $-13 +$8 04-30 05:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 -$10 22¢ $-8 +$2 04-30 18:17
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -64 -$10 12¢ $-8 +$2 04-28 23:25
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 -$1 05-04 22:36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -400 -$44 1¢ $-5 +$39 04-28 21:55
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -40 -$11 12¢ $-5 +$6 05-03 18:47
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -14 -$3 18¢ $-3 +$1 05-14 03:04
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -19 -$4 6¢ $-1 +$3 04-30 07:56
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -11 -$5 6¢ $-1 +$5 05-01 13:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$6 28¢ $0 +$6 04-30 06:03