Gloomy-Cricket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$3.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-09 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$0

Other

43% 50% +$0

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-150	$-2	1¢	$-1	+$1	05-28 04:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes		+0	$-0	2¢	$0	+$0	06-08 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$291	250	250	+0	open	—	06-02 06:02
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	12	$198	339	339	+0	open	—	06-07 08:19
Will Alberta join the US?	20	$178	409	409	+0	open	—	06-05 15:32
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$174	179	179	+0	open	—	04-10 03:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$153	153	153	+0	open	—	06-06 02:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$151	159	159	+0	open	—	05-30 19:17
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$138	222	222	+0	No	+$0	04-26 07:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$134	404	404	+0	open	—	05-28 19:26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$121	191	191	+0	open	—	04-22 23:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$107	106	256	-150	open	—	05-31 09:08
Iran leadership change by May 31?	4	$102	95	95	+0	open	—	05-26 03:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	05-25 22:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 20:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$96	52	52	+0	open	—	05-10 07:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 23:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$93	59	59	+0	open	—	05-21 14:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$90	82	82	+0	open	—	06-05 05:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$86	84	84	+0	open	—	05-16 23:03
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$0	04-19 14:38
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	04-19 19:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	04-20 20:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$82	91	91	+0	open	—	06-08 17:29
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$67	41	41	+0	No	+$0	03-30 13:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$64	103	103	+0	open	—	05-29 07:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	06-09 19:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 06:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$45	73	73	+0	open	—	05-24 08:58
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$44	107	107	+0	open	—	04-25 21:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$18	44	44	+0	open	—	06-06 23:11
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	06-08 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:03:16	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	126	0¢	$0	0x79dcb6…
06-10 01:18:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$2	0x20d22c…
06-09 19:39:13	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x527c82…
06-09 19:39:13	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x0268b3…
06-09 16:11:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x388ab2…
06-08 22:13:40	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x9e89a8…
06-08 17:29:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	91	47¢	$43	0x8f0997…
06-08 15:32:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0x5c8d3d…
06-08 15:32:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0x0697a6…
06-08 01:15:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x65844a…
06-08 00:34:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x79b4fb…
06-08 00:33:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x4a38dc…
06-08 00:33:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x2b3a44…
06-07 08:19:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0x436405…
06-07 08:19:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	23	82¢	$18	0xa1a38c…
06-07 05:35:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x99b75d…
06-07 05:35:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1d212e…
06-06 23:11:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0xfed104…
06-06 23:09:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x1f4ef7…
06-06 02:14:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0x846d5d…
06-06 02:12:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x87a5be…
06-05 20:17:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0xdc1250…
06-05 17:49:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x71a5de…
06-05 17:49:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x51a363…
06-05 15:32:15	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xacd5a1…
06-05 15:32:15	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2e4c3e…
06-05 11:06:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x91ba98…
06-05 05:25:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc123bb…
06-05 05:25:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xd3387f…
06-05 05:25:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	63	55¢	$35	0x6aa999…
06-05 03:05:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x0c7e59…
06-04 01:14:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	153	20¢	$31	0xe453bb…
06-04 00:37:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0xdc0518…
06-04 00:37:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$19	0x8c64dc…
06-03 15:11:27	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x0f4ab4…
06-03 09:52:44	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe322f8…
06-03 09:52:44	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x15fb8b…
06-03 09:50:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0xe719ad…
06-03 09:50:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	23¢	$11	0xb5257f…
06-03 09:50:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xb48ebe…
06-03 09:50:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x738186…
06-03 06:21:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	141	22¢	$31	0x205b90…
06-02 19:42:27	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x99eb99…
06-02 19:42:27	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x0528b8…
06-02 18:02:57	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$6	0xa8248f…
06-02 06:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	76	60¢	$46	0xd5783b…
06-02 00:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0xf2d775…
06-02 00:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0e7ff3…
05-31 21:17:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xa4ce36…
05-31 19:32:38	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd630f5…
05-31 19:32:38	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xcf2987…
05-31 19:32:38	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x682815…
05-31 14:59:52	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x7fb523…
05-31 13:08:59	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$3	0x258921…
05-31 13:08:59	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x12b915…
05-31 09:08:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xefc16a…
05-31 07:31:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$1	0xf20406…
05-31 07:31:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0839d8…
05-31 07:30:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x58dbfc…
05-31 07:30:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0x206ad4…
05-31 03:46:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xcfc8aa…
05-30 19:17:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	33	62¢	$21	0x5fa05b…
05-30 19:17:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0x1c581e…
05-30 19:14:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x62a0f7…
05-30 19:14:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x259945…
05-30 10:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	56¢	$20	0x4020cd…
05-30 10:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	56¢	$31	0x1025df…
05-30 09:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xc0a43e…
05-30 05:37:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xb4ada1…
05-30 05:36:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	128	6¢	$8	0x460a8e…
05-29 19:59:25	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xe934c5…
05-29 19:59:25	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x0fe50b…
05-29 18:42:33	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xd36a70…
05-29 18:42:33	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x3c5016…
05-29 07:24:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x92a910…
05-29 05:42:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x8e3e9e…
05-28 23:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x82d831…
05-28 23:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	74	59¢	$44	0x0dca68…
05-28 23:16:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x1ff529…
05-28 19:26:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x669d54…
05-28 19:26:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x2c096f…
05-28 19:26:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x24ad95…
05-28 16:47:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	144	4¢	$6	0x2eaf69…
05-28 10:11:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	36¢	$32	0x794fb1…
05-28 08:08:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x0dbd96…
05-28 04:44:52	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0x34d590…
05-28 02:23:23	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	2¢	$2	0xc2e236…
05-27 21:22:44	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x9d2906…
05-27 21:22:44	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x4185ba…
05-27 21:22:44	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x0fca8e…
05-26 03:22:59	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x1a1fed…
05-26 02:14:11	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x489f0c…
05-25 22:00:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x185a8e…
05-25 20:24:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x13af0b…
05-24 23:25:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x21b892…
05-24 19:54:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xe3bd4c…
05-24 16:11:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$14	0xf0d6b7…
05-24 16:11:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0x3cad9b…
05-24 12:39:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0xdb2c47…
05-24 08:58:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	73	30¢	$22	0x956a06…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	37	$547.8K	8,179	06-10 03:51
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	36	$207.5K	17,946	06-10 00:54
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$48.6K	657	06-09 08:04
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	32	$1.63M	23,095	06-10 03:51
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	32	$99.5K	28,107	06-10 03:51
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	29	$2.64K	2,217	06-10 03:12
Babyish-Thesis 0x7fa4…30eb	29	$2.06K	122	06-08 17:49
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	28	$141.4K	2,124	06-09 09:34