Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
113
Trades
198
lifetime
Volume
$514
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$66
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-16 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
61% 48% +$22
Other
27% 37% -$21
Sports
6% 38% +$1
Pop-Culture
5% 60% +$3
Crypto
1% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +57 $37 64¢ $37 +$0 07-06 13:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -30 -$12 68¢ $-20 -$8 07-01 08:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +20 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 10-16 11:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +10 $2 14¢ $1 $0 07-09 13:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 59¢ $1 $0 10-02 14:46
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 $0 05-12 11:04
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +52 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 13:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 07-08 18:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 33¢ $1 $0 08-26 15:50
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 05-07 20:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-05 07:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 07-08 18:41