Positive-Tic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$210

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$7.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-28 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

34% 50% +$57

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

21% 25% $-176

Tech

14% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	03-31 06:45
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-26 13:59
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?	17	$743	507	507	+0	open	—	04-29 21:27
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?	6	$580	400	363	+37	open	—	04-21 18:33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	5	$438	232	232	+0	open	—	05-20 17:21
will usdai launch a token by march 31	16	$326	604	172	+432	open	—	03-17 12:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	6	$262	200	200	+0	Down	+$118	05-04 10:18
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$188	250	0	+250	open	—	04-23 02:34
Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	2	$156	225	0	+225	open	—	04-29 18:33
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	5	$155	100	100	+0	Yes	+$45	05-04 20:27
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	7	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 20:17
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	4	$138	200	0	+200	open	—	04-25 22:05
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$112	200	0	+200	open	—	04-26 00:37
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	6	$109	200	0	+200	No	$-109	05-07 14:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$109	294	0	+294	open	—	05-04 10:32
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$107	289	0	+289	open	—	03-15 11:04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$91	300	0	+300	No	$-91	04-15 18:14
Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	5	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	05-22 14:15
Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	3	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 21:34
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$89	200	0	+200	open	—	05-24 08:32
megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 22:32
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	6	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 20:40
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$86	944	0	+944	open	—	05-25 13:49
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 10:19
Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?	4	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 14:51
Will Vance say "Marine" during Air Force Academy Address?	1	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 14:53
Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?	2	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 15:56
Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Powell" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$76	254	0	+254	open	—	04-25 19:02
Will Vance say "Ass" during Air Force Academy Address?	1	$76	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 13:11
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	2	$72	200	0	+200	open	—	04-15 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 14:53:45	Will Vance say "Marine" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xdd79c1…
05-28 14:51:22	Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0xf50f4e…
05-28 13:11:46	Will Vance say "Ass" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x7b3eb5…
05-28 11:24:22	Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x04de78…
05-28 09:09:23	Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xba0a92…
05-28 08:29:05	Will Vance say "Fraud" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x01bf25…
05-28 05:43:12	Will Vance say "Long Blue Line" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8cbcc9…
05-28 01:04:31	Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x079c24…
05-27 23:41:04	Will Vance say "Long Blue Line" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x74772f…
05-27 23:37:01	Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xce826f…
05-27 15:56:09	Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0x83228d…
05-27 15:54:28	Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x4bf4f1…
05-27 15:49:23	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x5c25e3…
05-27 15:25:13	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x14beb5…
05-27 15:24:10	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe6215c…
05-27 15:19:07	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xb46d2a…
05-27 15:12:38	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x88aafd…
05-27 15:00:37	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x2b8c8d…
05-27 14:56:18	will trump say letitia or james during cabinet meeting	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x15c6a2…
05-26 23:42:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x87c8d3…
05-26 13:59:01	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	700	99¢	$693	0xcfa7ba…
05-25 13:49:28	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xc623c2…
05-25 13:49:00	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	197	4¢	$8	0xdbaf06…
05-25 13:48:50	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	168	11¢	$19	0x9ed399…
05-25 13:48:48	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0xc117ba…
05-25 13:47:19	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	152	4¢	$6	0x87b253…
05-24 08:32:30	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xe637bc…
05-23 23:32:04	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdf05eb…
05-23 23:30:58	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	96	46¢	$44	0xde9bc4…
05-22 14:15:31	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xc61bdb…
05-22 14:00:55	Will Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6fe0b8…
05-22 12:30:21	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe702a2…
05-22 12:12:19	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9e4aa2…
05-22 11:08:23	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x64fbeb…
05-22 10:34:35	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb3cac3…
05-22 10:33:44	Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$16	0x4b0b2f…
05-22 10:33:20	Will Trump say "Gold" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x8209b7…
05-22 09:59:44	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x4808e4…
05-22 09:43:19	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9dfffb…
05-22 09:40:25	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	195	22¢	$42	0x263fd8…
05-21 18:25:54	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xa1cf6a…
05-21 16:08:56	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	222	13¢	$29	0xc11116…
05-21 15:19:09	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	222	15¢	$34	0xec2e55…
05-20 17:21:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x2ae328…
05-20 16:21:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0x0ad826…
05-20 16:08:52	Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	63	32¢	$20	0x6d0965…
05-20 15:58:22	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x7eacc7…
05-20 15:56:49	Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x486fd6…
05-20 15:54:39	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xcd9a84…
05-20 15:54:32	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa66b50…
05-20 15:54:24	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x75fa6c…
05-20 15:52:25	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x236efe…
05-20 15:52:16	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x0fff6c…
05-20 15:43:26	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xdb06fc…
05-20 15:43:22	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xcf1d47…
05-20 15:16:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	212	94¢	$199	0x9a40d3…
05-20 14:59:04	Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xa45e25…
05-20 11:27:08	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xa8d67b…
05-20 11:17:17	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	94	69¢	$65	0x81faf1…
05-20 11:09:05	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x0f4de7…
05-20 10:46:22	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xabc8ac…
05-20 09:14:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2d2d99…
05-20 09:13:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xe90479…
05-20 08:37:15	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xc72ccd…
05-19 16:11:39	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb528b3…
05-13 09:56:26	Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x39e22b…
05-13 09:55:12	Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd89d82…
05-13 06:50:44	Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x252e01…
05-07 16:34:35	Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xcce422…
05-07 16:33:50	Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x31bd23…
05-07 16:33:13	Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xff522d…
05-07 14:54:15	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x4303e0…
05-07 14:49:28	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf2530b…
05-07 14:49:23	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x77187f…
05-07 14:33:34	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x4376f4…
05-07 00:43:49	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbb6008…
05-07 00:43:49	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x79db76…
05-07 00:41:48	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x34d1af…
05-04 20:27:50	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf23b58…
05-04 20:17:14	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xcc062e…
05-04 20:17:12	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x5f68ae…
05-04 20:17:08	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x0f9ff1…
05-04 20:02:58	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xe0d0d5…
05-04 19:54:42	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x795f26…
05-04 19:54:38	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb72941…
05-04 19:53:18	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd19d8a…
05-04 19:52:28	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x21d0fe…
05-04 19:52:16	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x89b060…
05-04 19:51:36	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xfe0d91…
05-04 19:50:22	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x0a101d…
05-04 10:32:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	294	37¢	$109	0xa7dcae…
05-04 10:18:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	133	95¢	$126	0xab23c0…
05-04 10:17:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc21a3e…
05-04 10:17:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x249e20…
05-04 10:04:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x78d8f5…
05-04 10:04:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xdb8005…
05-04 10:03:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xcd9198…
04-30 15:39:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xbf4c13…
04-29 22:32:14	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x29a640…
04-29 21:27:32	Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xb25bc6…