Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
85
Trades
7,612
lifetime
Volume
$8.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 57% $-4
Other
29% 44% +$1
Politics
14% 45% $-6
Sports
5% 27% $-1
Tech
2% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -5 $-4 87¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 06:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -5 $-3 80¢ $-4 $-1 05-27 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-2 70¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 16:03
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -5 $-4 66¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 16:46
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 54¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 12:25
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-2 34¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 00:49
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 34¢ $-2 +$0 05-27 20:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -6 $-1 24¢ $-2 $-1 05-27 22:37
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -17 $-2 $-1 +$0 05-29 00:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 06:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 05-27 20:54
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 09:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 27¢ $1 $-1 05-28 05:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 05-28 04:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -62 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 17:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 02:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -5 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 08:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -12 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 13:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-27 21:25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-28 19:06
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 14:12
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +195 $1 $0 $-0 05-29 06:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-28 14:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 07:15
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 10:43
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -40 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-27 20:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-01 17:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12