Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
85
Trades
7,929
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 08:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 57% $-4
Other
25% 44% +$1
Politics
12% 45% $-6
Sports
5% 27% $-1
Tech
1% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-2 66¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 16:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 56¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 12:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 29¢ $-1 +$1 05-27 20:07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$1 05-30 00:49
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-28 14:12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 05-27 20:54
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 09:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 05-28 04:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 19¢ $1 $-1 05-28 05:30
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -17 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-29 00:02
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +195 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 06:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -62 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 17:23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -40 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-27 20:52
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 19:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 14:13
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 10:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-28 08:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-27 22:37
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 13:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-27 21:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 02:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 07:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-28 06:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-01 17:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 13:12
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 11:13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-28 12:28