Realized P&L (30d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved (30d)
490
Trades (30d)
1,428
5,977 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.20K
$20.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$123
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-02 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
70% 26% -$202
Crypto
22% 49% -$412
Politics
5% 42% -$104
Sports
2% 49% -$23
Tech
0% 29% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +103 $69 54¢ $55 -$13 11-01 13:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $23 26¢ $17 -$6 11-01 13:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 63¢ $9 -$1 11-01 13:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? No +93 $4 6¢ $6 +$2 11-01 22:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17 $5 29¢ $5 $0 11-01 13:51
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? No +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 11-01 18:46
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $6 3¢ $4 -$2 11-01 02:53
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,158 $3 0¢ $3 $0 11-01 02:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 $0 11-01 01:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-29 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 10-08 15:26
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-05 05:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13 $2 12¢ $2 $0 10-31 04:22
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-29 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 11-01 02:52
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 11-01 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-01 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 10-29 23:16
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +2 $0 44¢ $1 +$1 11-01 02:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-21 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-08 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 10-08 15:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-31 16:04
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-03 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? Yes +19 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-01 18:28