Realized P&L (90d)
-$483
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved (90d)
1,625
Trades (90d)
5,035
5,993 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.3K
$20.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$125
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-02 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
70% 26% -$200
Crypto
22% 49% -$417
Politics
5% 42% -$104
Sports
2% 49% -$23
Tech
0% 29% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +103 $69 55¢ $56 -$12 11-01 13:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $24 24¢ $17 -$7 11-02 12:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 61¢ $9 -$1 11-01 13:10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $6 3¢ $4 -$2 11-01 02:53
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? No +6 $5 63¢ $4 -$1 11-01 18:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17 $5 22¢ $4 -$1 11-01 13:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 72¢ $3 $0 11-02 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,158 $3 0¢ $3 $0 11-01 02:54
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +3 $2 58¢ $2 +$0 11-02 17:43
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 11-01 01:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-29 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 10-08 15:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13 $2 12¢ $2 $0 10-31 04:22
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-05 05:20
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-29 04:54
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 11-02 17:42
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 11-02 17:41
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +2 $0 48¢ $1 +$1 11-01 02:51
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-02 17:43
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 11-02 17:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $0 11-02 17:40
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 $0 11-02 17:43
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 11-01 02:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 $0 10-29 23:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-21 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-08 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 10-08 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +5 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 11-01 14:52
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-03 17:00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-31 16:04