Realized P&L (90d)
-$432
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,635
Trades (90d)
5,072
5,969 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.3K
$20.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$131
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-01 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
70% 26% -$200
Crypto
22% 49% -$412
Politics
5% 42% -$104
Sports
2% 48% -$29
Tech
0% 29% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +103 $69 55¢ $56 -$12 11-01 13:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $23 30¢ $20 -$3 11-01 13:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 67¢ $10 $0 11-01 13:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? No +93 $4 8¢ $7 +$3 11-01 22:31
Oilers vs. Rangers Oilers +7 $3 94¢ $6 +$3 11-01 20:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17 $5 29¢ $5 $0 11-01 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $6 3¢ $4 -$2 11-01 02:53
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,158 $3 0¢ $3 $0 11-01 02:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 11-01 01:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-29 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 10-08 15:26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 10-29 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-05 05:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13 $2 12¢ $2 $0 10-31 04:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 11-01 02:52
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 11-01 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-29 23:16
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 11-01 14:52
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +2 $0 42¢ $1 +$1 11-01 02:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $0 10-21 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-08 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-08 15:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 16:04
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-03 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? Yes — +9 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-01 14:40