Realized P&L
-$928
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
2,315
Trades
6,571
lifetime
Volume
$21.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$53
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-05 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
68% 27% -$298
Crypto
24% 51% -$423
Politics
5% 38% -$203
Sports
2% 49% -$24
Tech
0% 29% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +54 $1 10¢ $5 +$4 11-01 14:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 11-05 03:57
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? No +9 $6 51¢ $4 -$2 11-03 02:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +26 $1 15¢ $4 +$3 11-01 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +31 $1 13¢ $4 +$3 11-01 14:37
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 11-05 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +64 $1 5¢ $3 +$2 11-01 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 11-04 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 11-01 02:53
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,158 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 11-01 02:54
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +109 $4 1¢ $2 -$2 10-08 15:26
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $2 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 05:20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November? Yes +78 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 11-03 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 10-31 04:22
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-29 04:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? No +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 11-05 22:26
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +2 $0 56¢ $1 +$1 11-01 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:06
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 11-05 02:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 5, 2026? Yes — +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-05 04:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 10-29 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-08 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-08 15:28
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-03 16:59
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-03 17:00
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027? No +24 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-04 02:06
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +3 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 11-01 01:16
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +9 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-01 18:31
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-02 17:43